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"German duckling"
This was a weird one
The sales
Sale 1:
Sold for 35 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26817357
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038945235?time=1443942000 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038945235?time=1444114800 after
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038945235?time=1443942000&compare=1444114800
===============================================================================================
Sale 2:
Offered on and sold for PE stuntman (~23)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27467382
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035786535?time=1448524800 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035786535?time=1448611200 after
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035786535?time=1448524800&compare=1448611200
-> 23 keys
===============================================================================================
Sale 3:
Sold +3 keys for sulphurous berliner
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27404188
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044684864?time=1447574400 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044684864?time=1447833600 after
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044684864?time=1447574400&compare=1447833600
Theres nothing else to go by on the berliner, except other sales that would put it near 0. Using this for the sulph
===============================================================================================
Even at current buyouts of the sulph berliner, the 35 sale looks like a crazy outlier here even though it was pure. the sale took ~3 months and everyone else has had lower buyouts. The guy that bought it was really looking for the hat as it appears. Taking 35 or even including 35 would make the sulph berliner really high and make other sales in which the mallard one is used (I need a mini on blizz sensei where taking it as 35 would be a huge outlier). An item that is offered on items worth ~25 ish that have buyouts in that area should not be valued at 35.
Constructive criticism welcome!
~Foamy :3