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I'm a horrible person.
1st suggestion was 36 keys, then they said the overpay was not needed, then they said you need it.
Sold for a vivid plasma your worst nightmare (~40).
Outpost trade http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27433020
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025963071?time=1447574400
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025963071?time=1447660800
This is the only recent sale, the only other for sale is asking 70 keys and hasn't sold for over 10 months.
40*0.9= 36
If this suggestion fails, then this sale Isn't that useful to price this