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smol het
Re-re-suggesting because I forgot to put the high end at 19... sigh
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096210931?time=1447228800&compare=1447142400
Sold for TaW DeGroot Experience
x = 21.5 * 0.9 (DeGroot was offered)
x = 19.35, rounding down to 19.
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096210931?time=1447401600&compare=1447315200
Sold for Aces High Armored Authority + 8 ref
Mini for Armored Authority:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096210931?time=1447488000&compare=1447401600
Sold alongside 1 key for a Steaming Caribbean Conqueror.
Conquerer Micro:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096210931?time=1447574400&compare=1447488000
Sold alongside 9.33 ref for a Duped C. Bubbles Tough Guy's Toque
Toque Nano:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096210931?time=1447660800&compare=1447920000
Sold for 21 keys
Back to Conquerer:
x + 0.55 (keys were 17 ref back then) = 21 (Conqueror was offered)
x = 20.45
Back to Authority:
x + 1 = 20.45*.9 (Mistake on my part, the Authority was actually offered.)
x = 19.45
Back to Little Buddy (finally!):
x = (19.45 + 0.49 (keys were 16.33 back then)) * 0.9
x = 19.94 * 0.9 (authority was offered)
x = 17.95. Rounding up to 18.
Sale 3:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061376237?time=1448265600&compare=1448352000
Unsure what this was bought for? Not using.
Sale 4:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063499548?time=1448611200&compare=1448524800
Appears to have sold for 18 keys.
Sale 5:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049166729?time=1448697600&compare=1449129600
Also appears to have sold for 18 keys.
Conclusion: 3 sales at 18, 1 at 19. I am pleasantly surprised at how neat this is. Feel free to tell me if I did anything wrong in the comments!
Meh, my comment needs to be 10 characters long.
The first sale was used to price the Degroot, so it can't be used to price this:
https://backpack.tf/vote/id/5657abbddea9e96c617f7af5
didn't notice that. will probably resuggest at 18 flat