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Fewer on the market than I expected, and fewer still with actual prices.
Sold for 12 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27493524
I previously rejected 11 keys from the eventual buyer, and 11 keys a few days ago too.
The only 11 key Headcase on the market is duped:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27552863 -> http://backpack.tf/item/637983493
SCM seems to support a higher price too, given by the recent sale.
http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/The%20Holiday%20Headcase
Feedback and (counter-)proof is welcome and appreciated.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067161406?time=1449561600&compare=1449648000 - Proof it sold for 12 keys
However, 12 days unsold at 12 keys on classifieds.