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"Sorrow has a human heart"
"From my god it will depart"
I saw this at 112 and was like, how the hell.
Bear with me here
The sales
Sale 1:
Bulksold for keys as it appears
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109019764?time=1449302400&compare=1449388800
Low
=======================================================================================================
Sale 2:
Sold + 20 keys for blizzardy mask of the shaman
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048956541?time=1448697600 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048956541?time=1448784000 after
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048956541?time=1448697600&compare=1448784000
Only other sale on the shaman added keys to a spec aussie rocket:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080567919?time=1443769200&compare=1443942000
S'yea, that would make this very low
=======================================================================================================
Sale 3:
Wow this actually sold for 90 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057088324?time=1446361200 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057088324?time=1447056000 after
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057088324?time=1446361200&compare=1447056000
-> 90 keys
=======================================================================================================
Sale 4:
Sold for duped vivid mancer (~61) + S.f flare (~2)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057784963?time=1446361200 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057784963?time=1446451200 after
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057784963?time=1446361200&compare=1446451200
Mini mancer:
Sold for 61 keys:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025560677?time=1448524800&compare=1448611200
For anyone that thinks thats low:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052306405?time=1448956800&compare=1449648000
Taking 61
61+2 = 63
-> 63 keys
=======================================================================================================
Another sale was this + 15 keys for a miami rack which I m gonna use there. the 90 sale here will make that sale unsensible.
Lastly theres bulk for nebula spaceman
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132673419?time=1446102000&compare=1446361200
I know its full pure, but 90 is simply not realistic here. Shaman sale would put this at 50 with current price and even lower when I use a mini. The miami rack has a seller at 60, which would make the miam rack sale ~45 if we used that seller as a mini. IF. Im not using that as a mini. Im using this for the rack. the bulk-key-sale isnt usable naturally. I could try to find out how much that would be for the runner, but theres literally no way. 63 flat should work here, with 90 as outlier. And in all honesty, this even seems conservative.
Constructive criticism welcome!
~Foamy :3
So, 90 being an outlier is based on your opinion?
Tsk tsk, you know better than that Foamy.
well, the directly used sales are 63 and 90.
Supportive sales (not directly used) would be
~50
~45
~verylow
You may pick the outlier ;p
You're not using the "supportive" sales though, so the sales are 65 with a shaky, possibly-too-low mini and 90 pure.
EDIT: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27336045 Offered a Hearts L'homme (most recent sale was 1:1 with a Logo rotation, ~80) + 10 keys, the range is definitely viable here.
how is the mini possibly too low? 61 is a pure sale and the other sale is even lower. 61 here is "high".
idk about the burglerre. theres nothing on it apart from that rotation (IF jack is right there), and you yourself have excluded sales involving that logo rotation as "probably too high" recently, so using that as means to determine an outlier here is 'shaky'
lets use 90 for the shaman:
it would give shaman sales at ~50 and ~110. Prev. suggestion revealed it hasnt sold for ages at ~80 or so. Admitted that that is a while ago. Its buyouts at 100-120 havent caught much attention.
Lets use 90 for the rack:
-> 105. Other sale is for a ghosts outta sight (which is what I wanted to use the rack for, but idk if I will be able to price that at all as the sales are very discrepant and weird on that one). 105 makes no sense with the open buyout at 60.
Unused sales can still support
Going to revise this later as it seems the blizz shaman may be updatable. Also considering the new rule changes this may need an update
https://backpack.tf/vote/id/544d3db7ba8d88c00f8b4c1c - never forget
Worse than Hitler
Yeah i've read through that because I was wondering why this was so high in the first place :P
That's an interesting suggestion, he rly tried hard to get a higher then it's worth their. just to probaly sell it further
LOL. I was just going to post that exact thing.
Anyways, regarding the suggestion, I personally think we need to hold off on pricing this for the moment. Or go more conservative with the drop. The aussie trade for the shaman is probably an outlier for the shaman. With sales at 45, 60, and 90 (in pure), I'm not so sure it's fair to call any outliers without some more info. Might be worth waiting for another sale here or another sale on the shaman. Will probably keep this up for a bit.
Yeah, I'd say that would be too low for the shaman as well. ~55 was taking the shaman at its current, technically still in-date value (or just a few days outdated, I forgot which of the two); using that aussie mini here, the runner sale for it would be ~30. Ill keep an eye on the one on the market for the moment.
Such a suggestion killer ;-; I was gonna use this to update Miami rack in order to use that for the ghosts outta sight, (which was also a mini). Decided to keep both of those on hold for now (ghosts outta sales are all over the place and for the rack, even with this at 63 it is likely an outlier as it would put it above current market buyouts)
That sucks
Yeah.. Ah well; Ive fabricated a rather crude mini on the outta for the suggestion I ultimately needed that for, which will do there as its a relatively small portion of that trade, so thats something :P