Headed for Indiana, stabbing women like the Phantom.

Resuggesting.

Sale #1

Bulk sale

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031371895?time=1446969600&compare=1446883200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014664814?time=1446883200&compare=1446969600

Sale #2

Bulk sale for a Strange Nebula Captain Space Mann

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014664814?time=1446710400&compare=1446624000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049957667?time=1446710400&compare=1446624000

Sale #3

Sold w/ a Strange Shooting Star (~12.5 at the time) for a Burning Flames Large Luchadore (~182.5, mini below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27245377

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085540473?time=1445929200&compare=1446274800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046847895?time=1446188400&compare=1446274800

(182.5 * .9) - 12.5 = 152 keys ~> outlier

Burning Large Luchadore mini

Sold for a Circling Heart Exquisite Rack (~182.5)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27188128

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085540473?time=1445065200&compare=1445151600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416?time=1445151600&compare=1445065200

Sale #4

Sold for a Duped Sunbeams Hustler's Hallmark (~105, mini below) + Professional Killstreak Australium Eyelander (~55) + Professional Killstreak Australium Stickybomb Launcher (~21) + Professional Killstreak Australium Grenade Launcher (~26)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197990821273?time=1442386800&compare=1442473200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070018257?time=1442386800&compare=1442473200

(105 + 55 + 21 + 26) * .9 = 186 keys

Duped Beams Hallmark mini

Sold for an Orbiting Planets Bonk Boy (~26.5) + Sunbeams Ye Olde Baker Boy (~90, micro below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27344529

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089288620?time=1446537600&compare=1446624000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019556015?time=1446624000&compare=1446537600

(90 + 26.5) *.9 = 105 keys

Beams Baker Boy micro

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/56482e92dea9e91f577f771f ~90 keys

Sale #5

Sold for a Duped Disco Beat Down Virtual Viewfinder (~132, mini below) + 2 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27418107

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078385860?time=1448092800&compare=1448006400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031371895?time=1448092800&compare=1448006400

132 + 2 = 134 keys ~> outlier

Duped DBD Viewfinder mini:

Sold w/ 8 keys for an MG Rack (~155)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26063822

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198024427134?time=1446883200&compare=1447056000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078385860?time=1447142400&compare=1447056000

(155 * .9) - 8 = 132 keys

Sale #6

Sold for 175 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27078056

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127876613?time=1442646000&compare=1442732400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040902095?time=1442646000&compare=1442732400

Conclusion:

6 sales, using 2 of them. Sales #1-2 are bulk sales; can't use them. Sale #6 may be a quicksale, but I'll take Foamy's advice: "Lower sales support the fact that a range may be needed, but valuing it below the pure is kinda off to me." Since 175 keys was a quicksale, anything below that is logically an outlier. Taking 175-190 keys.

Additional and Counter Evidence is always appreciated.

Discovery out ヽ༼ຈل͜ຈ༽ﾉ