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~7.25 keys
fountain
Unusual Taunt: Burstchester Fountain of Delight
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Sale 1:

Sold for a duped c9 Headsplitter + duped MG Wrap + duped GE Vive (seller at 250, seller at 300, using 275) + duped DBD Flamenco

Presuming offered


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047263033?time=1448265600&compare=1448179200


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27429272


58 + 94 + 45 + 275 = 472 (capped at 350)


Headsplitter mini:

Sold alongside ~2 keys' sweets for an Eerie Tyrolean (seller at 60, using that)


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191442775?time=1448438400&compare=1448265600


60 - 2 = 58


Wrap mini:

Sold for a TF Rotation


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175249965?time=1449043200&compare=1449129600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112046826?time=1449043200&compare=1449129600


Flamenco mini:

Sold for 45 pure


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076940184?time=1447920000&compare=1446969600


Sale 2:

Sold for a Scorching Ubersternmann + Beams Lucky Shot + S. Burstchester (worth 30 at the time)


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27267843


(225 + 180 + 30) X 0.9 = 390


Uberstern mini:

Sold for a S. Gains Burstchester (http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27324891 - had a B/O of 200-250, taking 225)


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063383864?time=1446015600&compare=1446102000

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Unusable sales:


Sale 1:

Sold for a DP Sensei + DP Bonk + DP Antlers + DP KE + Scorching Wayfinder + ~5 keys' sweets (outlier judging by current sellers)


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053134374?time=1447056000&compare=1447315200


Sale 2:

Sold alongside a bunch of crap for a D@D COTOK (using it to price the COTOK)


http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017584970?time=1447401600&compare=1447574400

      $420 cash is very low and, assuming it was offered, the Scorching Surgeon's would fit within this range. Neither of these sales can be used because the guy is marked though.

        Mr Giang wasn't marked at the time of sale, and she has yet appealed her mark so the sales can be used or at least taken into consideration.

          Either way, the surgeon would fit within the range.

            The Scorching Flames Surgeon's Stahlhelm is gifted and along with an 11 month outdated price, I don't think it would fit in the range.

            More information can be found here: http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/8542-report-a-single-sale-the-forum-version/?p=475768

              Gifted means nothing now; the tag can be removed. If you can find me a mini then sure - I can't find one. Let me get on that :P.


              If there's a mini for it at 200 then surely this is an outlier?

                Yeah, probably an outlier given your sales. Also, I totally forgot about the gifted tag removal, my bad. :p

      The sale at 472 looks like the outlier here. Paying 470 on a b/o of 350 ..


      http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060726539?time=1450166400&compare=1450252800 - sale around 250 probably

      http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045955679?time=1450425600&compare=1450512000 - sale around 400


      So sales at 200, 230, 250, 350 (the DP collection sale), 390, 400, 470... I don't think this is priceable. We don't have any solid ground for calling one sale an outlier over another.


      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27360609 - this one has been up for 2+ months. Most offers are in the 150-200 range. One offer there - the burning sole mate at ~250ish. Really looks more like this should be a wide 250-400, but it might be worth it to wait for a few more sales here.