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Sale 1:
Sold for a Secret Connoisseur's cap + S. MW Liquid Asset (SCM at 17)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044027534?time=1445842800&compare=1445756400
(150 + 17) X 0.9 = 150
Sale 2:
Sold for a duped Lantern Stash + ~3 keys' sweets
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995194055?time=1447660800&compare=1447574400
(95 X 0.9) + 3 = 90
Stash mini:
Sold alongside a Mallard Exe for a HG TC + pro aussie BB (~30)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130596640?time=1442818800&compare=1443164400
(225 + 30) - 160 = 95
Exe micro:
Sold for 160 keys' worth of buds
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057673841?time=1442559600&compare=1442646000
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Unusable sales:
Sale 1:
Sold alongside a Miami Falkirk Helm + Steaming Brain Bucket for a Ghosts JR. Relaxo (should be used to update the Relaxo)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044027534?time=1444633200&compare=1444806000
That complex sale is killing value of duped stash to like ~45% (3 months old stash price), but still explains why is range so wide.. I would rather just go with 150 flat here if there is no better mini on duped stash - neutral for now.
The Seller involved in Sale 2 is Outpost Banned, so I think 90 is the Outlier.