Suggestion: Orbiting Fire Captain Cardbeard Cutthroat at 315 keys

Price Suggestion

~207.5 keys

o.fire

77 votes up

25 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Thu, 14 Jan 16 20:14:40 +0000 by polar.

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Comments

Redo

Sale 1: Sold for a demonflame pyromancer's + a csgo knife - I legit cant find a recent sale, either outdated, bought from a scammer unboxed, or in a collector's backpack, thus doing double overpay. = 333*0.8 = ~266 + 55(*0.9) = ~315

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091301355?time=1449907200

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091301355?time=1449993600

Before: http://csgo.backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091301355?time=1449648000

After: http://csgo.backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091301355?time=1450080000

Sale 2: Sold for an eerie orbiting fire bomber + a blizzard hive minder = 135 + 14 = 149 (*0.9) = ~134 rounding to 135

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115471878?time=1449648000

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115471878?time=1449993600

Sale 3: Sold for FT Cool Brick House Minigun and FT Isotope Lightning Rod Shotgun

https://imgur.com/NRiGDVa

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091301355?time=1449302400

65+28 = 93

93*0.9 = ~84 = rounding to 85

Shotgun mini: http://imgur.com/qC57yjr - Up for ~3 months

Minigun mini: 2 b/os at 27-28

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27529466

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27536625

Bomber mini: Sold for miami nights crown = 150

http://backpack.tf/item/1249734603

http://backpack.tf/item/3756714974

Knife mini: http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/730/%E2%98%85%20Bayonet%20%7C%20Night%20%28Minimal%20Wear%29

5 recent sales average = $146(0.9) = $131/2.4 = ~55 keys

Sale 2 and 3 are outliers because of offers that counter them.

Im not sure about any of this. The History doesnt add up for sale 1 or 2.

Incog went to Caboose that went then to Senpai

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091301355?time=1449907200&compare=1449993600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107678494?time=1449907200&compare=1449993600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115471878?time=1449648000&compare=1449993600

Also where are these offers that counter? I just checked all the outpost listings and only 1 even had an offer.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27181343 (though he stated 2 offers in his notes, none of the comments confirm this so I wouldnt put faith in it)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27550820 (burning Chapeu offer)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27575859

Its a good catch on the CSGO knife though but given this hat is 1 of 1 I would wait until another sale actually happens since sales are all over the place here.

Edit: Also worth mentioning that all these sales have happened in the last week or so. Cant really ignore any of them to not be as in date as others :/

as pointed out ~~below~~ above, sales seem to be icky. I doubt the CS knife was involved, the "buyer" has no CS bp at all

http://steamcommunity.com/id/PokefanGaming/inventory/

It seems as though the mancer was sold for the bomber and the dbd thingy:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141057220?time=1449734400&compare=1449993600

Which means at least something is off here. I actually think the mancer wasnt traded for this. From the looks of it, it was sold for something involving the bomber, after which he resold the bomber + the dbd push for the mancer.

Apart from that, you cant use the mancer if it has no sales. Its value is a year old, priced in buds. It could be half that, it could be double that. Double overpay is no solution there :P