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Weird thing.
Sold for 17 Keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041822925?time=1449216000 (December 4th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041822925?time=1449302400 (December 5th)
Quicksold for 17 Keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051032766?time=1449561600 (December 8th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051032766?time=1449648000 (December 9th)
Sold for a Blizzardy Storm Glengarry Bonnet(14 Keys with Overpay) and 4 Keys(18 Keys total)(B/O was 15, Outlier)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047440519?time=1449388800 (December 6th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047440519?time=1449475200 (December 7th)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27474763
Alright this is a tough call. Although it sold really quickly for 17(less than a day), the hat seems to sell commonly for that. Though the 17 Key quicksale indicates that 15 is a low price.
So with all this, we just have to consider the 17 Key quicksell as lucky I suppose :p. 17 Keys should be fine.
Additional Proof/Counter-Proof/Constructive Criticism/Feedback is always appreciated.