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2 recent sales
Sale # 1
Not using this one, because they are 2 unpriced hats
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197961465738?time=1449734400&compare=1449820800
Sale #2
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123977468?time=1450080000&compare=1450339200
Sold with outdated Green Confetti Mining Light, Blizzardy Storm Batter's Helmet, Smoking Lord Cockswain's Pith Helmet, Poisoned Shadows Napper's Respite for Purple Energy Rotation Sensation.
X+37*+21.5*+14.5* equals 190
*****Mini for Light*****
Hat is Duped
Can not do mini no valid sales for dupes.
Using Normal price 10% off.
33 keys.
*****Batters*****
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085435023?time=1446274800&compare=1446969600
Sold with Purple Conf Fedora [49] for Beams Panama [57]
Lowest price for a Fedora is 48 keys http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Fancy%20Fedora/Tradable/Craftable/7
http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/258991349
X+48 equals 57
0.9X+43
57-43
14 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081809475?time=1447228800&compare=1447142400
Sold for KaW Metal Billy [15.5] + 9 keys. You can see it using near ID of the Billy.
15+9keys
15*9+9keys
22.5 keys
Range for the Batters is 14 to 22
Middle of 18 keys.
*****Pith*****
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043826027?time=1448179200&compare=1448265600
Sold with Disco Toe [15] and Dead Pres. Topper [17.5] plus [6] pure
X+15 equals 17.5+6
0.9x+13.5 equals 23.5
Pith is 10 keys
****Results of Minis*****
X+37*+21.5*+14.5* equals 190
X+33+18+10 equals 190
I offered the PE Rotation
0.9X+54.9 equals 190
*****Range*****
135 keys for the Nappers.
So you're using a bulk sale to price an unpriced hat.
Not only that, you don't have a non-bulk sale to back that up.
Sorry, downvote.
IF YOU HAVE CHECKED you will see that there are no other valid sales.
Actually, I have. My point is that you have one bulk sale to price an item, which will not suffice. Best to wait for another sale.
That sale is way too complex to use, better to just leave this one until a better sale comes along.
Quoting the unusual suggestion guide: "Basically, if a hat is a small piece in a large deal, that sale should not be used as proof."
This is because values tend to be very skewed in these sorts of trades. Just by looking at the suggested value, you can tell it's far too high - this is ~40 keys more than Burning. The best thing to do is to wait for another sale.