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"Charming effect"
Snakes dont follow the sound of a snake charmers flute. They look at the Green Black Hole and follow its movement.
The sales
Sale 1:
Sold for harvest marauder (~93) +3 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046429263?time=1446883200&compare=1446969600
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010500057?time=1446969600&compare=1446883200
0.9*93 +3 = ~87
-> 87 keys
===================================================================================================
Sale 2:
Offered on and sold for stormy cone (~95)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27416331
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046429263?time=1447747200 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046429263?time=1447833600 after
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046429263?time=1447747200&compare=1447833600
-> 95 keys
===================================================================================================
Sale 3:
Sold for hearts whoopee (~48) + aces ballcap (~26) + searing fez (~31) + duped gfetti mining (~30)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155981570?time=1448352000 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155981570?time=1448438400 after
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155981570?time=1448438400&compare=1448352000
0.9*(48+26+31+30) = ~120
Mini duped mining:
idk the exact sale, but sold for stuff including a c9 goggles and strange fancy uniform, likely exceeding BO of 30
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140468405?time=1448179200&compare=1448265600
Taking 30
-> 120 keys
===================================================================================================
Sale 4:
Sold for surge juju + HG data mining + smoking brainiac
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129130593?time=1449907200 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129130593?time=1450512000 after
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129130593?time=1449907200&compare=1450512000
Nothing on the juju or the brainiac. The juju is obviously overpriced (Id have guessed it to be half this, lol) and the hg mining light is probably lower as well, based on current sellers. (theres one at 35)
Taking the seller as mini for the mining light, this sale would be 63 after overpay + 0.9*juju value, which should be no more than 100 Id guess.
so no, Im not using this.
===================================================================================================
Sale 5:
Sold for 80 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27331251
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010305519?time=1446451200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010305519?time=1446537600
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010305519?time=1446451200&compare=1446537600
-> 80 keys
===================================================================================================
Sale 6:
Sold for Pro aussie sniper (~41) + bubbling dapper (~21) + Cool low profile (FT) (~16)+ '72 ICU (~30) + ~4 in sweets
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129564285?time=1447315200 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129564285?time=1447401600 after
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129564285?time=1447401600&compare=1447315200
0.9*(21+30+16) +41 = ~100
-> 100 keys
===================================================================================================
Sale 7:
Bulk for strange normal australium grenade launcher
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077454234?time=1446710400&compare=1446451200
Not using
===================================================================================================
Sale 8:
Sold for cashmonies. Or air, I dunno
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25998365
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046704593?time=1444114800&compare=1444633200
===================================================================================================
Sales seem to cluster up between 80 and 100. 120 is outlier-ish. Defying, who ended up selling his for 80, has told me this hat is a really tough sell. He used other words to describe it, but that was the bottom line.
Going 80-100 here
Constructive criticism welcome!
~Foamy :3
Finally got the drop it needed. 9.4 buds seemed high for this
You got the numbers flipped on the Bubbling Dapper, should be 12 as per your mini. Also didn't include the sweets in your math though, which almost balances it out. Would be ~95.
oh, haha; thats rather silly ^^; Thanks for spotting that :P
There it goes, one of the most overpriced effects.
Some hats have GBH priced higher than Burning Flames!
Looks good to me, anyway; Upvoted.
Mmmm. Sale at 80 looks like a quicksell to me. I would probably go 90-95 taking out a high and low end sale here.
He has been trying to sell it for a month though:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27195723 [he relisted his trades]
He said he had a hard time getting 80 for it over that time, hence I think its best to keep it included
Hmm. Alright, fair point. Thanks.