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~650 keys
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Unusual Charmer's Chapeau Green Black Hole
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"Charming effect"


Snakes dont follow the sound of a snake charmers flute. They look at the Green Black Hole and follow its movement.


The sales


Sale 1:


Sold for harvest marauder (~93) +3 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046429263?time=1446883200&compare=1446969600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010500057?time=1446969600&compare=1446883200

0.9*93 +3 = ~87


-> 87 keys


===================================================================================================


Sale 2:


Offered on and sold for stormy cone (~95)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27416331

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046429263?time=1447747200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046429263?time=1447833600 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046429263?time=1447747200&compare=1447833600


-> 95 keys


===================================================================================================


Sale 3:


Sold for hearts whoopee (~48) + aces ballcap (~26) + searing fez (~31) + duped gfetti mining (~30)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155981570?time=1448352000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155981570?time=1448438400 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155981570?time=1448438400&compare=1448352000

0.9*(48+26+31+30) = ~120


Mini duped mining:

idk the exact sale, but sold for stuff including a c9 goggles and strange fancy uniform, likely exceeding BO of 30

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140468405?time=1448179200&compare=1448265600

Taking 30


-> 120 keys


===================================================================================================


Sale 4:


Sold for surge juju + HG data mining + smoking brainiac

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129130593?time=1449907200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129130593?time=1450512000 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129130593?time=1449907200&compare=1450512000

Nothing on the juju or the brainiac. The juju is obviously overpriced (Id have guessed it to be half this, lol) and the hg mining light is probably lower as well, based on current sellers. (theres one at 35)

Taking the seller as mini for the mining light, this sale would be 63 after overpay + 0.9*juju value, which should be no more than 100 Id guess.

so no, Im not using this.


===================================================================================================


Sale 5:


Sold for 80 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27331251

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010305519?time=1446451200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010305519?time=1446537600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010305519?time=1446451200&compare=1446537600


-> 80 keys


===================================================================================================


Sale 6:


Sold for Pro aussie sniper (~41) + bubbling dapper (~21) + Cool low profile (FT) (~16)+ '72 ICU (~30) + ~4 in sweets

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129564285?time=1447315200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129564285?time=1447401600 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129564285?time=1447401600&compare=1447315200

0.9*(21+30+16) +41 = ~100


-> 100 keys


===================================================================================================


Sale 7:


Bulk for strange normal australium grenade launcher

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077454234?time=1446710400&compare=1446451200

Not using


===================================================================================================


Sale 8:


Sold for cashmonies. Or air, I dunno

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25998365

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046704593?time=1444114800&compare=1444633200


===================================================================================================


Sales seem to cluster up between 80 and 100. 120 is outlier-ish. Defying, who ended up selling his for 80, has told me this hat is a really tough sell. He used other words to describe it, but that was the bottom line.


Going 80-100 here


Constructive criticism welcome!


~Foamy :3

    Finally got the drop it needed. 9.4 buds seemed high for this

    You got the numbers flipped on the Bubbling Dapper, should be 12 as per your mini. Also didn't include the sweets in your math though, which almost balances it out. Would be ~95.

    There it goes, one of the most overpriced effects.

    Some hats have GBH priced higher than Burning Flames!


    Looks good to me, anyway; Upvoted.

      Mmmm. Sale at 80 looks like a quicksell to me. I would probably go 90-95 taking out a high and low end sale here.