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Let's do this.
Sale 1: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047511557?time=1443769200&compare=1445238000
And here is the outpost trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26812316
Trade closed for inactivty, backpack not scanned for weeks, and the trade appearing is an obvious outlier and doesn't match the seller's buyout. Not usable.
Sale 2: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078666051?time=1447574400&compare=1447488000
No outpost trade.
Most likely the kiss king was offered on the tyrannus. Price is updated, that makes 99*0.9 = 89.1. Rounding to 89.
Sale 3: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078666051?time=1447574400&compare=1447660800
No outpost trade.
This time, it is most likely the tyrannus was offered.
I couldn't do a mini for the slope, either it is traded for other unpriced items, or it's in bulk sales. Not usable.
Sale 4: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092472594?time=1448611200&compare=1448524800
Both are outdated and duped, I have got to do minis.
Wraith mini: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175249965?time=1449302400&compare=1449388800
Sold for a magnetic hat protector spac mann. 112.5 * 0.9 = 101.25, rounding to 101.
Flamenco mini: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060960913?time=1447747200&compare=1448006400
Sold for 54 pure.
So we've got (101+54)*0.9 = 139.5, rounding to 140.
Sale 5: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047263033?time=1448697600&compare=1448784000
I checked, no history match, the trade displayed is not what happened. Not usable.
Sale 6: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076269357?time=1449475200&compare=1449561600
My own trade. Sold for the two unusuals and the four strange weapons. He is the one who came to me, and we negotiated from there, overpay doesn't need to be applied (he can confirm if needed). We both considered the stranges to value up to 17 keys, even if market price suggests they are worth more (so I'm not doing some sort of manipulation there), taking that.
80 + 52 + 17 = 149.
Three usable sales at 89, 140 and 149. Taking 89 as an outlier, keeping 140-149.
Criticism really appreciated, it is totally possible I made mistakes.
Personally I would like to see clearly the what was exchanged in each sale, but that might just be me.
Seems like you don't have Julia's script?
Nope, what is it? I have no idea at all (noobie noob sollie) :(
http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/33627-user-script-compare-differences-between-inventory-snapshots-and-more/
See how the links got the "compare" word and some numbers at the end. That shows you 2 days compared. So you can see what it sold for if you just click the link, but you must have the script installed.
Thank you so much, no wonder the compare things do nothing for me :(
Yea. I don't know how I lived without this script. It's like super useful.
if he came to you and offered on your frostbite slug, then overpay is required, just as you did it with the kiss king trade where the kiss king was offered and you applied overpay. 134-140 should be the range. i would also recommend asking woflie (sale 5) and the person from sale 1 what they got for it; the slopes are likely to be 100 or lower and the two other sales could help determine where the outliers are.
Hm, no. If the item in question, the item for which the suggestion is done, is the one offered, then there is no overpay to be applied.
Quoting the rules: " The issue of reverse overpay
If the suggestion is for an offered hat (where the person offering on another hat is technically expected to overpay), do not calculated overpay or reverse overpay. Take both hats at 100% of their original average value."
edit: oh okay, nah, you didn't understand. If you take a look at the compare link, you'll see the slug is removed from infamous snake's backpack. He is the one who offered with it. He bought my items with it. I didn't sell the slug, I still have it, as you can see with the "Owns: 1".
The person who bought the slug in your trade #4 was reselling at 90 pure - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27506121. Don't think he valued it at 140 in that sale. Wraith and menco minis are probably high, and they shouldn't be valued more than the b/o of 90 and 25 in that sale - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27480930
The non-usable sales here:
Sale 5 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27506121 - sold for 3 aussies which would be less than the b/o of 90. He used the third aussie to buy the TW uber.
Sale 3: Mini for the scopers. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27392555 - it was bought for this duped eerie buto that had been sitting with a b/o of 90 for 3 weeks with no offers. Certainly no higher than 90 there.
Some additional b/os to show here
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27517890 - b/o 130
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26812316 - b/o 110
Sale 1 can't be used since it was traded with a scammer
Sale 2 is ~90
Sale 3 is ~90
Sale 4 is closer to ~115
Sale 5 had a b/o of 90
Sale 6 is 150
Sales at 90, 90, 90, 115, 150. This is probably a fair bit high given all the previous b/os and sales on this hat.