I want to be a conespicuous suggester.

Didn't expect this to drop, but whatever.

Sales

Sale 1

Sold for a Searing Plasma Cone (165)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198005689389?time=1447574400 (November 15th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198005689389?time=1447747200 (November 17th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198005689389?time=1447574400&compare=1447747200

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27438013 ----- Ooze Cone was offered

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27430410 ----- Ooze Cone B/O was 220 keys

=======> 165 keys

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Sale 2

Sold for a Scorching Big Elfin (?) + Chiroptera Caribbean Conqueror (?) + Stormy 13th Hour Capotain (?) + Burning Festivizer (?)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050518375?time=1448092800 (November 21st)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050518375?time=1448179200 (November 22nd)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050518375?time=1448092800&compare=1448179200

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27446620 ----- Ooze Cone B/O was 200 keys

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Mini on the Elfin

No recent sales i can track without premium. This one has been unsold at 60 keys for a month without any offers: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27472190 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27612112

I will take current outdated price and apply overpay to it

=======> 54*0.9 = ~49 keys

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Mini on the Caribbean

This one had a B/O of 44 keys for a week: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27344508

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045296161?time=1446796800&compare=1446969600

Can't find what did it sell for, and can't find another decent mini (one that doesn't involve doing a lot of micros), so i will take 44 keys.

=======> 44 keys

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Mini on the Capotain

Using MaGenta's mini here, and applying overpay: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5651a079ba8d885b65a94a92

=======> 58*0.9 = 52 keys

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Mini on the Festivizer

Quicksold for 52 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066523276?time=1447056000&compare=1447228800

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27390391

Sold for... 70 keys?

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050518375?time=1449216000&compare=1449129600

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27526270 ----- B/O was 70 keys

Histories don't match, but near-ID shows 70 keys and that was exactly the B/O, so i will take that.

=======> 70 keys

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=======> 49 + 44 + 52 + 70 = 215 = Capped at 200 keys

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Sale 3

Sold for gifted Pyromancer's Mask (?) + duped Harvest Moon Sergeant's Drill Hat (?) + Purple Energy Rubber Glove (28.5)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130802680?time=1449388800 (December 6th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130802680?time=1449475200 (December 7th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130802680?time=1449475200&compare=1449388800

No Outpost trades.

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Mini on the gifted Pyromancer

Sold with a Max's Head (~27 keys) for a Miami Pullover (117 keys)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130802680?time=1449820800&compare=1449907200

No Outpost trades.

It apparently sold for a Miami Cone (outdated at 87.5 keys) as well, so the sale above should be ok.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118840574?time=1444374000&compare=1444201200

=======> 117*0.9 - 27*0.95 = ~80 keys

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Mini on the duped Drill

Sold with an Abduction Universal Translator (26.5) for a Cloud 9 Vive La France (83.5)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130802680?time=1449475200&compare=1449561600

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27523546 ---- Vive B/O was 90 keys, Drill was most likely offered since it didn't have an Outpost trade.

History on the Drill doesn't match, because it was most likely traded right after for a Cloud 9 Soldered Sensei (34) + Vivid Firewall (outdated).

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044160504?time=1449475200&compare=1449561600

=======> 83.5 - 26.5 = 57 keys

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=======> 80 + 57 + 28.5 = ~166 keys

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Sale 4

Sold for... duped Cloudy Moon Brigade Helm (?) + duped Max's Head (~25) ?

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066177907?time=1450425600 (December 18th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066177907?time=1450512000 (December 19th)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066177907?time=1450425600&compare=1450512000

History does match, but Near-ID says they weren't involved in the same trade.

No Outpost trade.

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Mini on the duped Brigade

Can't find a decent mini, it's 1/1 and outdated as hell.

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=======> Not using

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Sellers

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26121036 ----- 190 keys for 6 months.

- http://imgur.com/ebamcNk --------------------- 200 keys for 4 days.

Summary

- Sales for 165, 200 and 166 keys.

- Sellers for 190 (unsold for 6 months) and 200.

I will go with 165 keys flat here. If 190 can't sell for 6 months, a sale for 200 keys is an outlier, plus having two sales around 165 shows it's a common trading point.

Criticism appreciated!