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Well that changed fast.
UNSOLDS:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27634626 9
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27637528 9
SELLERS:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27639182 7.77
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27637902 7.66
Let it ride.
Wait this suggestion is based solely on one seller for 7.66 refined that's been open for only 1 day?
Seller at 7.77 supports the drop, but yeah. Why, do you see an issue with that?
I dunno, it just seems a bit early, especially since your one other support proof trade is less than 5 hours old.
Which is why it's support.
The seller at 7.77 refined has sold, the seller at 7.66 refined has reduced his price to 6.66 refined and has an user who sent him a trade offer for the hat. There's still no evidence sales above your range are less common than 7.66 refined there's no evidence from sellers below 9 refined and above 7.66 refined. Are you positive sales at 7.66 refined are more common?