"The trail of broken hearts"

Needed a "mini". Enjoy the mini.

The sales

Sale 1:

Sold for mega strike burstchester

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038978118?time=1450684800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038978118?time=1451376000 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038978118?time=1450684800&compare=1451376000

Gonna use that for the chester

[edit]

WTF am I doing, it didnt sell for that burstchester. I have no idea what it did sell for tho

Sale 2:

Sold for PE rotation (~190)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27423443

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038100449?time=1451376000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038100449?time=1451808000 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038100449?time=1451376000&compare=1451808000

-> 190 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for searing BoA (~232)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27396968

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094365132?time=1447315200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094365132?time=1447401600 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094365132?time=1447401600&compare=1447315200

-> 232 keys

Sale 4:

Knowing Juniomega this probably sold on the SCM

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119579654?time=1446361200&compare=1446710400

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Sale 5:

Sold for blizzardy mohawk (~105) + c9 BoA (~90)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27453967 BO 250

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112281935?time=1447920000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112281935?time=1448006400 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112281935?time=1448006400&compare=1447920000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071200743?time=1448006400&compare=1447142400

I wanted to update the BoA, but I couldnt figure out either of the sales that are present:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112281935?time=1448524800&compare=1448611200 suggests it sold for duped ghosts tossle, no way Junio would have taken that

other hats may have been involved but I cant be sure since their histories match in no way

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198171930022?time=1448524800&compare=1448611200

IDs reveal nothing else in Junio's bp to be linked to the sale. Im assuming the stuff shown in the buyers bp was actually added and then resold already

Theres also this but theres no way this was a sale

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198171930022?time=1450857600&compare=1451030400

OC metal doesnt match; but even the panama alone is low:

The guy would have taken a nuts shaman for that + the smg

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27593955

Taking BoA at current, this'd be ~195

-> 195 keys [Support]

Sale 6:

Sold for burning nappers (~95) + burning glengarry + GE swagmans (~70) + pro ks gold botkiller scatter (~20 ish)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27374872

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069070590?time=1446710400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069070590?time=1446883200 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069070590?time=1446883200&compare=1446710400

The glen is duped, but as a mini, all of these resold for a MG cone (~250)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885?time=1446883200&compare=1446796800

Taking 250 for all

-> 250 keys

Sale 7:

I must be missing something here:

Knifestorm deadcone (~40) + ghosts softcap (~29) + corona (~14) + S.startduster (~10) + S.capper (~8) + Shooting star (~1) + neglectible other sweets

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069070590?time=1447228800&compare=1447488000

Seeing what he paid this cant be it. Jigron also deals in CSGO, so Im assuming thats the reason this seems so low

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Sale 8:

No clue

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090810035?time=1446710400&compare=1446796800

Nothing and no cash rep exchanged.

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Sale 9:

No clue on either of these sales:

http://backpack.tf/item/4346084230

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960302839?time=1448438400&compare=1448352000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995427886?time=1448784000&compare=1449216000

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Sale 10:

Wow, what are the odds

Sold for PE rotation (Different sale, lol) (~190)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27561488

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048466463?time=1449993600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048466463?time=1450339200 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048466463?time=1449993600&compare=1450339200

But 20 keys and stuff was added, see trade post

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006136307?time=1449993600&compare=1450339200 keys match

190+20 = ~210

-> 210 keys

Sale 11:

Sold for ooze chapeau + ~20 in strange festives and ~15 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147476096?time=1448179200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147476096?time=1448784000 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147476096?time=1448179200&compare=1448784000

Chapeau is outdated but had a buyout of 120:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27473182

Based on that it would be really low. May be used to update the chapeau

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Sale 12:

Sold for duped beams lucha (~170*) + miami tossle (~35) + 7 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006136307?time=1451721600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006136307?time=1451808000 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006136307?time=1451721600&compare=1451808000

I minied the beams lucha at ~170 a while back. Using that (probably slightly inaccurate, but not far off), it'd be 210.

-> 210 keys [Support]

Sale 13:

Sold for Strange eldritch flame pullover + max

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27558998 doubt that BO has been there from the start (~160)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006572847?time=1450512000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006572847?time=1450598400 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006572847?time=1450512000&compare=1450598400

Easily exceeds BO of 160 even with nonstrange pullover

-> 160 keys

Sale 14:

Sold for ghosts HWNN

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993876329?time=1450771200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993876329?time=1450857600 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993876329?time=1450857600&compare=1450771200

Should be used for the HWNN, its price is pre-multiclass

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As for comparison Ill be listing the strange sales as well:

Sale 15(Strange):

Sold for DaD razor cut (~112) + Cmoon YWN (~140)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197971174166?time=1448438400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197971174166?time=1448524800 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197971174166?time=1448524800&compare=1448438400

THe razor is outdated, but this should be ~250

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Sale 16(Strange):

Sold for duped knifestorm hallmark + ~40 in other hats

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066321931?time=1448438400&compare=1448870400 those hats

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197971174166?time=1448438400&compare=1448179200

Should be near the low end or slightly below. Unboxer sale, classic scenario of an easy flip

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Sale 17(Strange):

Whats up with these duplicated sales?

Sold again for strange eldritch flame pullover, but this time +10keys in sweets

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160?time=1449216000&compare=1449302400

Effect wise it seems to be a straight upgrade (or sidegrade at the very least). isnt the flame pullover low?

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Sale 18(Strange):

Sold + ~5 in taunts for AF beak (~255)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031566289?time=1450771200&compare=1451203200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027544408?time=1450771200&compare=1451289600

==========================================================================================================

Sale 19(Strange):

Okay this proves strange should be more than non-strange

Sold for Nether trail pullover (yes, this hat) + c9 muffs (~60)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026799664?time=1451462400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026799664?time=1451635200 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026799664?time=1451635200&compare=1451462400

==========================================================================================================

I also found two other sales that arent usable

Sale 20:

Nothing

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255666892?time=1448956800&compare=1449475200

==========================================================================================================

Sale 21:

Seems to have sold for ~100 in stuff

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27385704

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026455399?time=1447315200&compare=1448611200

All his offers were better. wat.

==========================================================================================================

Okay so overall assessment:

minus the strange sales, we have sales at:

160

190

195 [Support]

210

210 [Support]

232

250

250 is high compared to a couple of BO's seen, 160 is low seeing how it was a BO cap; most sales were above it. Offers support higher than 160 as well.

Going to lose the low/high ends (160 and 250) and round the range to 190-230

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy ;3