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Hmm.
SALES:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27642320 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27688469 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27689110 2
No sellers for less than 2 on outpost.
Let it ride.
Community market basically supports, mostly a little over $5 in the last week, and more consistently above it in the last four days.
Classifieds not bad, but not as supportive, looks like 6 currently listed under 2 keys:
http://i.imgur.com/6C4ZFP1.jpg
Probably worth keeping an eye on those classifieds.
And following up, down to one sub-2 key in the classifieds:
http://i.imgur.com/PJ9r1lq.png
Looked like more initially, but I went to the backpacks to get their listings to refresh, so the other two are not listed any more. The low from the prior classifieds appears to have sold (isn't in backpack, most likely in escrow), and another listing at 1.85 may have been sold or removed (the seller still has two in backpack).
Now the classifieds are close to supportive, but the outpost listings aren't anymore.
Others at below 2 now on outpost:
"1.85", http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27691936
"1.8", "1 key + 14 ref", http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/259930386
~1.75 "1 key + 13 ref", http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27694206
"1.58" (!), http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27664613
Several more at "backpack.tf" that don't specify low-end:
"Middle range" (1.85) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27670968
"bp.tf" http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27521684
"bp.tf" http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27687409
Anyway, long story short, kind of looking like this doesn't need much of a raise, but some pretty good evidence for a refresh of the two month old 1.7-2
All "bp.tf price" sellers are invalid.
The fact that all the classified ones below 2 sold already shows those are quicksell values.
All of your outpost sellers are young.
Thankyou for the extra proof for 2 keys flat.
Yep, which means four or five listings in the last day for under 2 keys, assuming you didn't miss any of those the first time around. Not usually a good sign, but if they all go in a day or two then it's pretty good evidence that's a quicksell.