Scorching Thirst Blood

Damn I love this hat...

New price: 80-100 keys

[proof below]

SALE 1

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161252578?time=1453017600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161252578?time=1453104000

http://imgur.com/vCLn5ET

Sold for:

-Peace Sign Bonk Boy ~55 (no overpay)

-x5 Genuine Horace ~28

-Specialized Killstreak Australium Grenade Launcher ~23

-Killstreak Strange Festive Ubersaw ~5

Peace Sign Bonk Boy

http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Bonk%20Boy/Tradable/Craftable/18

Suggestion (not outdated yet I guess) at 53-56 -> 54.5 -> 55 rounded

Genuine Horace

http://backpack.tf/stats/Genuine/Horace/Tradable/Craftable

5.5 x 5 = 27.5 -> 28 rounded

Specialized Killstreak Australium Grenade Launcher

http://backpack.tf/stats/Strange/Specialized%20Killstreak%20Australium%20Grenade%20Launcher/Tradable/Craftable

1 seller at 23 keys for little longer than 2 days. 2 buyers at 20.. However, I believe Steam fees are 15% so The Grenade Launcher would be ~$57 on the market. Key prices are $1.85 (PayPal etc) so $57 divided by $1,85 is ~31 keys... So it basically sells for 31 on the market and for 23 on the classifieds. I decided to go with 23 here since there are no sellers at 31 on the classifieds (no buyers above 20 as well). Other sellers at 27 keys but since the 23 key seller has not sold it yet after 2 days I will just simply go with 23.. should be fine.

Specialized Killstreak Strange Festive Ubersaw

http://backpack.tf/stats/Strange/Killstreak%20Festive%20Ubersaw/Tradable/Craftable

Just 1 seller at 5 keys, market also suggests ~5-6 keys so 5 should be alright here.

TL:DR

55 (unusual) + 28 (horace) + 23 (australium GL) + 5 (sf ubersaw) = 111 keys.

Rounding this off to 110 keys. However, B/O was 100 so capping at 100

SALE = 100 keys.

SALE 2

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073135175?time=1445756400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073135175?time=1446015600

Sold for:

-Stormy Storm Brown Bomber ~42

-Miami Nights Runner's Warm-Up ~20

-Lime painted Max Head ~28

Stormy Storm Brown Bomber

http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Brown%20Bomber/Tradable/Craftable/29

Recent suggestion at 39-45 keys -> 42 keys.

Miami Nights Runner's Warm-Up

http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Runner's%20Warm-Up/Tradable/Craftable/61

1 seller at 27

MINI for Miami Night's Runner's Warm Up

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198007490284?time=1445238000&compare=1445151600

Sold for a Smoking Modest Hat (added 5 keys) 25-5 = 20 keys.

Max Head

http://backpack.tf/stats/Unique/Max's%20Severed%20Head/Tradable/Craftable

Should have been ~27 at the time but I value it to b 28 because it is painted Lime, not level 1/7 and clean.

TL:DR

42 (unusual) + 20 (unusual) + 28 (max) = 90 keys.

SALE = 90 keys.

SALE 3

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088079103?time=1450166400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088079103?time=1450339200

http://imgur.com/wVqS4zr

Sold for:

-Purple Energy Flipped Trilby ~55

-Uncraftable Pink as Hell Flip-Flops ~3 keys

-25 keys

Purple Energy Flipped Trilby

http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Flipped%20Trilby/Tradable/Craftable/10

Recent price suggestion at 55 keys. No overpay, just 55 keys.. simple as that :P

Uncraftable Pink as Hell Flip-Flops

http://backpack.tf/stats/Unique/Flip-Flops/Tradable/Non-Craftable

Worth 2.7, paint is worth 1 key so I will just value it at 3 keys.

TL:DR

55 (unusual) + 25 (pure) + 3 (flipflops) = 83 keys. Rounding up to 85

SALE = 85 keys.

SALE 4

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26628642

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157985512?time=1448352000&compare=1449907200

Sold for 82 pure keys. Rounding down to 80

SALE = 80 keys.

SALE 5

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094814044?time=1451462400&compare=1451980800

Sold for a CS:GO Knife.

SALE = invalid.

SALE 6

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27714554

Quicksold for 65 keys pure.

This hurts so much because I was 2 minutes late otherwise I would have had it...

SALE = invalid

ADDITIONAL PROOF:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27720420 - B/O - 100

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27722343 - B/O - 100

CONCLUSION.

There are now 6 sales.

SALE 1 - 100 keys

SALE 2 - 90 keys

SALE 3 - 85 keys

SALE 4 - 80 keys

SALE 5 - Invalid

SALE 6 - Invalid

80-100 seems like a fair and nice range to me.

This is probably the largest suggestion I've ever made (4400+ characters...) so I hope that I don't have too much mistakes. Feel free to correct me on anything or add more proof.

Thanks for reading and voting!