"Burst of delight"

Need a mini on this, lets work with what we have.

This took far longer than I anticipated.

The sales

Sale 1:

Sold for gifted scorching stahl + C.S. pro vaccinator

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053134374?time=1446274800&compare=1446361200

Using that as mini on the stahl since I need it there.

Note that gift tags are currently removable, but they were not at the time the sale happened. Ive read somewhere that there had been a buyout of 260 on the stahl somewhere at some point, but I cant find that back. With this sale in mind, Id say this is the most recent, most proper mini available on the stahl. However, with another sale here in mind (based on the showstopper chester which Im gonna do) this would cap at a buyout, making this a rather high mini on it.

Sale 2:

Sold for scorching waxy (~154) + DP antlers (~84) + DP KE (~63) + DP bonk (~26) + DP sensei (~20) + Pro ks scatter (nonstrange) (~5)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27352597

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053134374?time=1447056000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053134374?time=1447315200 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053134374?time=1447315200&compare=1447056000

The bonk and sensei are 4months old and thus technically outdated, but they were in-date at the time of the sale and their change in value will be neglectible compared to the rest of the sale anyway

154+84+63+26+20 +5 = ~352, rounding to 350

-> 350 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for GE vive + duped MG wraith + duped dbd menco + duped c9 splitter

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27429272 BO 350

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047263033?time=1448179200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047263033?time=1448265600 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047263033?time=1448265600&compare=1448179200

GE vive is likely overpriced and the duped hats are likely a bunch lower, but this should comfortably cap at 350

-> 350 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for Demonflame cold killer + gifted heards mancer + probably something else but its near impossible to find out due to the current history state

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27509913 had BO of 500

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060726539?time=1450166400&compare=1450252800

http://backpack.tf/id/dedandrei?time=1450166400&compare=1450252800

I can only directly match the CK and the mancer, which would put this at ~250. Outpost histories are kinda unreliable here since peachie seems to be missing in a lot of them. The yellow belt in the sellers bp and the rack in the buyers bp share The One as owner at some point, but cant link them with 100% certainty. so ye, idk. I assume something was added that was then exchanged for the myb, but it may also have been delayed due to escrow. I dunno man.

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Sale 5:

Sold for duped GE mining light (~110) + phosphorus muffs (~138) + beams escorter (~50) + DP phantom (~27) + mallard pomade (~?)+ dbd hazmatten(~35) + aussie blutsauger (~10)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045955679?time=1450425600&compare=1450512000

http://backpack.tf/id/dedandrei?time=1450425600&compare=1450512000

Mini hazmat:

Not much viable on this thing:

Sold for duped frostbite slouch

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27595779 BO 40

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059807821?time=1451462400&compare=1450598400

other sales are:

no clue

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010500057?time=1451289600&compare=1451203200

Buyer doesnt help either

I dunno

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964721029?time=1451376000&compare=1452153600

Looks like bulk for GE pullover

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197997600533?time=1451721600&compare=1452067200

So slouch sale it is.

its outdated and stuff and probably a tad below the current buyout of 35.

Taking 35

Theres nothing on the pomade (no sales at all) and all buyouts were above current.

The mining sold + a PE mining light (at least over 71) for ~180 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27427747

Would support ~110 as value, but its kinda inconcrete because the PE value isnt too straightforward; probably not far off though

since I cant get anything concrete on the pomade, I cant really evaluate this sale. its ~360 + the pomade; evidently higher than 350

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Old sales to back up the range value:

QSed for 420 paypal ~227

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27274955

Sold in 3 days

Sold for scorching uberstern + beams lucky + S.chester

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27267843

Quite sure the uberstern is currently overvalued, but it makes for a decently high value. The guy that paid the stern and shot is the one that QSed it for the paypal, giving an idea of what he expected in pure. based on that, its probably best to exclude both sales (especially since theyre too old now).

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All in all we have sales at:

~227 QS, paypal, too old

~250+? not sure about this sale

~350

~350 (BO cap)

~400+ ish (No mini available on the pomade)

uberstern + lucky is likely above the 350s; realisticly the scorching stahl is a bit below the 350s.

So:

- Excluding 227 on account of it being a QS

- Excluding the 250 and ~400 sales because either the value or the sale is unclear

- Excluding the uberstern and stahl sale because they're old, difficult to properly appraise, and probably give a mean pretty close to 350.

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Additional:

Offers here seem to be on the low side. The person that bought it for ~350 in hats was interested in this one as well. The seller here asked him far more in hats though, but it indicates he could have sold it for ~350 as well.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27360609

Offers and counteroffers generally indicate hes actually okay with ~350

- Got offered burning sole, asked for 100 extra (would be ~370). Sole is outdated but offers here back up at least ~250:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27565868

- Got offered FacNew ST point disarray (~50) + Cmoon ballcap (~140, but duped), and was okay with the disarray and scorching specs (~325 based on seller) (~375 tops for the total)

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Offers, counteroffers, buyouts and sales considered, 350 flat seems a fairly good middle point here.

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy ;3