"Bursting Fireworks"

I guess this can be done now.

The sales

Sale 1:

Sold for stormy 13th hazmatten (~290) + smoking guten (~24) + other sweets (~5 ish)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27365523

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074192315?time=1447660800 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074192315?time=1447920000 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074192315?time=1447660800&compare=1447920000

http://i.imgur.com/iwb3G3d.png

I appear to have replaced my buyout by the line stating what ive sold it for, but I was selling for 300, which is surpassed by this

-> 300 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for duped MG wraith (?) + GE combustible (~130)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27278033 indicates the wraith is clean but eh:

http://backpack.tf/item/3271371663

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970361626?time=1445756400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970361626?time=1446102000 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970361626?time=1445756400&compare=1446102000

buto is for sale here at 130 by the seller from this sale:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27412844

it was in-date at the time of the sale, so 130 should be fine I guess

Cant find much on the duped wraiths, seen BOs around 100 but cant link them to sales and they havent been open for long.

Sale would be ~230

-> 230 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for gifted scorching stahl (~320*)+ 25 keys and 2 cans of paint (~2)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27330377

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014114974?time=1446102000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014114974?time=1446274800 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014114974?time=1446102000&compare=1446274800

Mini stahl:

Sold + C.S pro ks vaccinator (~30 ish) for FoD chester (~350)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27296210

It should be noted that gift tags are currently removable, but they were not at the time of this sale. The gifted stahl was told to have had a buyout of 260 somewhere at some point, but I cannot find that back anywhere. Even taking the average of this buyout and the sale, it should still cap at the buyout of 300 (it would be really close using 260)

Using as supportive for the high end

-> 300 keys [supportive]

Sale 4:

Sold for burning physician + bills and roughly 150 craft weapons and other shit

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27274549

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074192315?time=1446537600

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074192315?time=1446624000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074192315?time=1446537600&compare=1446624000

And yes, he really wanted those weapons.

Theres some other sales on the physician, but I guess this is best used for that instead. Most notable offer on it when I was selling it was a clean PE stash (~250)

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Sale 5:

Sold for MG ninja (~160) + GE bubble (~55) + Aussie medgun (~30 a.t.t) + some pro ks sweets (~7 ish)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27455942

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087881353?time=1448352000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087881353?time=1448438400 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087881353?time=1448352000&compare=1448438400

MG ninja mini:

- Sold for DbD executioner (~80) + CV merry (~70) + 6 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031126990?time=1453017600&compare=1452931200

Mini merry:

Gonna average that to 70-90 and take 80

Total ~154

- Sold for C.bubbles ywn (~35*) + Burning gonzila (~46) + hearts jeepcap (~32) + Pro aus minigun (~35) SF pro sniper (~20)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27488641 BO 175

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047704729?time=1451808000&compare=1451548800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087881353?time=1451721600&compare=1451808000

gonzila seems to have resold instantly for 46. Jeepcap probably lost on sweetstakes. ywn and jeepcap are outdated. Cant find sales on the ywn but it got offered stormy exe (~35):

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27680381

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27738316

with that, the total would be ~165

It was also involved in two sales quickly succeeding each other, where it was used to overpay on a beams tree + ~10 in stuff

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031126990?time=1453017600&compare=1453104000

The buyer then used that to upgrade to scorching tree. He got a duped one and added 15 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27706447 BO 110, offers would have surpassed that

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067161406?time=1453276800&compare=1453363200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086164003?time=1453276800&compare=1453363200

Both sales happened very fast after each other and the scorching tree had offers way higher than 110. Based on those, Ive decided not to price the ninja yet, but for this mini, the two sales provided are far more suitable (1 of them being the burstchester seller that resold the ninja; most accurate to use here)

Averaging the 155 and 165 to ~160

160+55+30+7 = ~252

-> 252 keys

Sale 6:

QSed on the SCM

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27491936

Seems to have been ~340€ which is roughly 150 keys, which is an easy outlier.

=====================================================================================================

Sale 7:

No idea what went down here

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197974958158?time=1451289600&compare=1450684800

http://backpack.tf/id/csgotradeing?time=1450771200&compare=1451203200

Tried to look past escrow but I cant find what went on. Given the Steam ID of the seller, I figure he may be a csgo trader.

=====================================================================================================

Notable offers on the chester:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27625293

- Hellfire vive (~300)

- PE chill (?) not sure how much, but judging by offers it should certainly support the range here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27669348 Sold for hellfire wraith (~300) here

- That pistol he was offered sold for a beams bubble pipe (~250)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27230183

Some may be old, but nonetheless:

- PE stash (~250)

- GE muffs (~250)

- Beams samur (Altho I believe it was a duped one)

- Stare phantom (~115) + TW wraith (~95) + PE tavish crown (~50) | total ~260

The guy that offered those three was willing to negotiate and offer other stuff of similar value

A bunch of the other offers are probably between 200 and 250. By now outdated (and probably retracted) was an offer of 250 pure.

=====================================================================================================

All in all theres sales at

- 300

- ~300- (stahl sale)

- ~250

- ~230? old and misses a mini

- ~150 (QS, scm)

Going with a range of 250-300 here. Its best represented by the sales and the consistent offers between 250 and 300 spread over the past months (currently still going, so its not just old "hype" offers) strongly support a range as such. I'd go 300 flat based on the sales and offers, but I feel theres too much below 300 to ignore.

Constructive criticism welcome!

~Foamy :3