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resuggestion 2.0 (polar is still a fuzzy little polar bear)
Sale @40 Keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198869057?time=1453190400&compare=1453276800
Sale @45 Keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27588806
https://gyazo.com/432cb8b5e12b6263c89f51ebb453834d
http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Taunt%3A%20Buy%20A%20Life/Tradable/Craftable/3005 Buyer at 48 keys.
Just got mine on SCM for 105.4€ (91.65 without fees) : http://i.imgur.com/n6add2T.png
Making 53-61 keys if taking the actual cash value of the keys (1.73€)
Making 39-45 keys if taking the actual in-store value of the keys.
(Don't know which currency to use when treating SCM sales)
You use the scm price of keys. With that it falls around this range, 48 key buyer is gone now, probably because it was against the classified rules. I guess this suggestion is good enough for now.
"Best kind of bear". :D