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Over a 2 year old price
Sold for Disco Beat Down Tussle Cap ( ~55, see http://backpack.tf/vote/id/56abc5bbb98d8813048d779d )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27656374
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137643329?time=1453017600
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137643329?time=1453449600
Sold Alongside 110 keys and a Black Max's for a Scorching Pyromancers (~198) = ~60 for Greased Lightning
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27518233 (best source of trade info, bp scans don't want to coooperate here)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026477805?time=1450425600
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026477805?time=1451289600
Sold for Knifestorm Rimmed Raincatcher (~43, 4 month old price) + Purple Confetti Desert Marauder (~23, over a year old) = ~66 without minis
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091445726?time=1450425600
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091445726?time=1450512000
Sale 2 is bulk for the Mancer.
Raincatcher mini:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063500245?time=1450252800&compare=1451203200
Sold for a Searing Festivizer + Blizz Big Country (35 keys)
Marauder Mini:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27722202
seller at 19
35 + 19 = 54. Use 54-55.
Bulk trades are where more than two unusuals are involved. There were only two involved there alongside some pure which is just subtracted from the value of the pyromancers.
I'd still not use it.
If the item you're pricing is <~50% of the trade (which, in Sale 2, the Greased is), then it's best to not use that sale.
Would you want to price a Steaming Tyrolean in a GE Hazmat sale?
Not exactly a fair comparison since that trade would have to be mostly pure and the hat would be added in as an afterthought, not a major part of the trade as it is here. It would also likely heavily skew the value of the Tyrolean which is not the case here, it's a 5 key difference over the other sale I have which is the main reason I didn't ignore it.
In my opinion, which could be wrong, I think that sale would be better as supporting proof than main proof.
Commented on the counter, may as well hop in here too:
As for using the sale I agree with gwen and shuffle that I would not directly use it for the range but rather keep it as supportive. However, that raincatcher/marauder sale is very likely ~60 as well (Raincatcher gets offered slightly above 40 and the marauder is ~19 based on sellers). Given the situation, theres enough here to validate 60 as part of the range, so out of these two suggestions I support this one
Agreeing with Foamy's claim on the suggestions, while the bulk sale shouldnt be used, the 3rd sale could for sure be 60 looking at the offers the raincatcher has received on outpost, (mentioned here - http://backpack.tf/vote/id/56abde11ba8d88e626bd04c4 ). So im accepting this one.