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lets see what happens :P
Sale #1
sold for 37 Distinctive Lack Of Hue, 38 Extraordinary Abundance of Tinge and a white bill's hat
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27626360
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041350434?time=1452240000
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041350434?time=1452585600
there was no suggested price for the paints since the trade occured 6 days before the first suggestion, not sure what to do but going to use the earliest available suggestion of white paint which was 12-17 ref so 14.5 ref black paint which was 12-14 ref so 13ref ((38*14.5)+(37*13))/17.5"key price in ref at the time"=58.97... = ~59
white bills was 3 keys 59+3=62
note: a good point was brought up in the forums about this by Frisky in :http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/48263-what-price-would-i-use-paint-for-in-a-resuggestion/#entry507627 saying that the paints might not actually have this value. not sure to not include this sale but for the moment i will, let me know if it shouldnt be used.
edit: has been decided that this is an outlier, since there has been multiple offers of 100 keys+ e.g one offer was D@D winter woodsman which is ~250 if a little was added with the whole set http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27694031#latest wanted around 40-50 keys extra puts the chieftain at about (250-90 "value of items in the set")-45=115.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26524071 was also offer haunted ghost outta sight +30 keys cheapest is 75 atm which puts it at 105 roughly
Sale #2
sold with a prof ks australium rocket launcher for a duped purple energy modest pile of hat and strange genuine prof ks widowmaker
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27694031#latest
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077238860?time=1454400000
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077238860?time=1454486400
Duped PE modest : "Chawster" offered 170 keys pure on http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27257572
strange genuine prof ks widowmaker 9 keys : http://imgur.com/a/65WNM
prof ks aussie rl 73 keys : http://imgur.com/a/65WNM
170+9=179
179-73=106
seems like the only useable sale since the other chieftains hasnt been sold in a while and this for this one theses are the only 2 in the last 3 months. let me know if anything should be changed
Well, I don't necessarily think we have the most solid grounds for calling 62 an outlier, but I could live with it if you fixed the issues on your second sale. For one the pure b/o was 100, so the sale cannot be valued more than that. Furthermore, if you are using offers to define values here as you are with the modest, on your own trade you received an 80 pure offer on the aussie RL which you have valued at 73. This should be closer to 100 flat.