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"420 dank blaze"
nearly 1000 accepted suggestions
I was asked to do this, as well as the burning cannonball, but I wont do that stupid cannonball. Using these sales for the cannonball would make this an outlier on the cball (as it would surpass all cannonball buyouts); it should probably be used here instead
The sales
Sale 1:
Sold for cauldron gibus (~235) + peace sign toy tailor (~44)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27736233
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074192315/#!/compare/1454832000/1454918400
http://i.imgur.com/kMCVjkF.png
This was used for the cbubs gibus, but other sales on the cbubbles gibus would support a middle value here
235+44 = 280
-> 280 keys [Supportive]
===============================================================================================================
Sale 2:
Sold + pro ks rocket launcher kit (daffodil/singularity ~30) + smoking baker (~14) + 10 keys pure for strange hellfire rotation (~300)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27714858
http://i.imgur.com/0rCvWMd.png
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074192315/#!/compare/1453276800/1453363200
The bp scans are weird and confusing, but ohwell.
Regarding the kit: Ive sold multiple such kits for 70€ (with that effect/sheen, but also with same effect but similar sheens that match with aussies), which would be:
Buyer pays 70
Seller receives 60
Avg = €65 = ~30 keys
I've received an offer of 30 keys on this very one, which was canceled because the offerer bought another such kit for 30
Rounding up the strange rotation to 300 since my other offers were generally around that value, matching with the fact that the strange adds a (minimal) value
300-30-14-10 = 245
-> 245 keys
===============================================================================================================
Sale 3:
Sold + MG ninjahood (~145) and neglectible sweets for burning cannonball (~450)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27819695
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116543638?time=1455177600 before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116543638?time=1455264000 after
450-145 = ~300+ and caps at 300
-> 300 keys
===============================================================================================================
Sale 4:
Sold + strike chester (~210) and 10 in sweets for burning cannonball (~450)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27675869
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116543638/#!/compare/1455177600/1455264000
450-210-10 = ~230
-> 230 keys
===============================================================================================================
Sale 5:
Sold for duped cyclone conga (~165) + lantern jefe (~58)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27836307
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197997268820/#!/compare/1455436800/1455523200
Values are based on reselling prices of the seller. Should support the low-end of the suggestion
===============================================================================================================
based on offers i've received and my supportive sale, Im keeping the 300 sale in the range, even though there's 3 sales near the low end.
Notable offers that back up higher values:
Searing BoA (~230) + pro aussie bb (~30)+ strange pro ks rocketlauncher (~15) ~275
Abduction spaceman (~220) + PE snaggle (~40) ~260
especially the first of the two solidly supports the higher sales. the spaceman is meh and the snag is outdated,
230-300 should work here
Constructive criticism welcome!
~Foamy :3
About the duped cyclone conga+ jefe sale,i also added 30 keys (22 tf2 and 8 cs:go).
230 seems a bit low,even to me,i'd suggest we just wait for me to resell :/
Ah, missed those;sorry!. That would make that sale ~250-255 ish :P
Anyway, as for the hat:
it may be easier to resell now since this has closed:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27397703
it occasionally goes inactive and opens up again. It was open when most of the sales here happened.
Based on the sales at hand, I would rather have my doubts about the high end than the low end especially since that burning cball is overpriced, so the high end is on the high side based on that
I know from my experience that it fetches higher offers than the other sales Ive seen, and along with my own sale, I think there's enough supportive evidence here to back up 300 as high end here, despite the 3 month seller at 250 (which, even with low activity, should be taken into consideration) and the fact that the clearest sales are ~230-250
Why Foamy the Fearsome --> Foamy the Fearsome Dragon?
Or have I just been ignorant of your change in specie?Have my upvote as well btw.
This is a long story. Technically the name change worked the other way round.
I went from:
Foam Rifle -> Foamy
Foamy -> Foamy the Fearsome Dragon
Foamy the Fearsome Dragon -> Foamy the Fearsome
Then there was something involving butts, felines, failboats, and somehow I went back to the dragon one; soon I'll change back to just fearsome.
If you want the full story you'll have to add me :D
"Using these sales for the cannonball would make this an outlier on the cball" - I think you hit the nail on the head. But the cannonball is clearly not 450. And that's the value that's setting your high end here
Heh, technically this suggestion is a counter to one that'd put it at 300 flat :P
My main problem with not including is that I can technically not really use the cbubbles gibus sale (since this was used for the cbub gibus with a rather crude mini), but the other sales in that suggestion definitely back up the high value here. If this was not used for the cbub gibus, it would not have that low end now and the sale here would have been close to or just over my BO of 300.
Without that supportive sale and the supportive offer (BoA+BB+rocket ~275) I'd have gone with 230-250 here, but based on my personal experience with this hat (which resulted in those offers and that sale) I feel like that would be low here.
Effectively its probably best to wait for Yahia to sell before fully assessing the suggestion
It just resold + AF brainiac for scorching modest; probably gonna use that to update the modest. Gonna look into that a little further tomorrow; at first glance, it supports the lower end sales rather than the higher end ones
Well, it will certainly be under 200 given a clean scorching modest has been on the market for months at 420. Maybe call the low sale at 200 and the high sale at 300 as outliers on either end and go with 230-245?
yeah, given that new sale that sounds more reasonable here; resuggesting in a few minutes