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Burning Chullo:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087962998/#!/compare/1456473600/1456560000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085861958/#!/compare/1456473600/1456560000
Sold with Poisoned Shadows Powdered Practitioner for GE Texas + GE Hazmat + 50 keys
http://i.oddball.tf/vOVhy.png
New owner is asking 75 on Powdered:
http://i.oddball.tf/ii3Te.png
New owner confirms they were seperate:
http://i.oddball.tf/03SQQ.png
Gonna cancel out Powdered + Texas.
Hazmat Mini:
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/56d9900bdea9e9781fb9de19
Using 540
540 + 50 = 590. Using 600 for neatness.
Netflix and chill chullo
There are a ton of recent sales way over this. Personally I just paid over 640 keys in god tier unusuals. Do more research please.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111273937/#!/compare/1458198000/1458284400
121 + 105 + 172 + 97 = 495 (Super low outlier.)
Phantom + trophy +veil are duped.
Veil Mini:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068219260/#!/compare/1456905600/1456992000
Sort by time shows 121 pure: http://i.oddball.tf/Icy0S.png
Trophy Mini:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119585421/#!/compare/1456300800/1456387200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112099979/#!/compare/1456041600/1456387200
Duped AF Lamp + C9 Outta
50 + 55 + 105
Lamp Mini:
http://i.oddball.tf/nQDJu.png
Seller for 50
Phantom Mini:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111273937/#!/compare/1457164800/1457251200
1:1 Demonflame Bomber (172)
Edit:
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/56ec762fdea9e9e32bc42c4b
Didn't take that into consideration. That makes it EVEN LOWER.
Another Sale:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258595192/#!/compare/1457856000/1457938800
Being used on cotton
Really? 640 keys in 'god teir unusuals'? Forgot to mention they were duped, bud. That makes a big difference.
Also, a TON of recent sales?
I see only 3. One was used in another place, another is a low outlier, and only one valid one.
What makes you think/how do you know that's an outlier?
Imma assume his purchase was an outlier since by flat out bp.tf prices that offer does hit 640...and thats all that half the people look at while trading anyways
But what makes 640 an outlier?
I think if you make proper minis for those hats, you could techincally use that sale, although Id be hesistant to, since as pointed out; the clean values of those hats are roundabout the suggestion's value (slightly above it). Its likely that the seller valued the dupes higher than what others have sold them for, which could explain why its lower than the other sale.
121 is very low for a PE veil, even a duped one. didnt count the keys, but it was definitely a QS:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27916203
He relisted it like 5 times, but all on the same day, lowering his BO every time. He's been selling at 180 for about a week before that.
The AF lamp in your trophy mini QSed too btw, but that wont be a big impact (should about level with the difference in the phantom mini).
As for the suggestion itself:
This may be close enough; Ill discuss it with the other mods tomorrow.