Found this through the item's stats page. 2 quicksellers are unsold at 36-38. I believe the one relisted, the other appears to have had it for 10 days. Supports a drop.

there are two more sales here that can be used

Sold for blizz fortunate (~40)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27884482 BO 36

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054830235/#!/compare/1458543600/1458630000

Caps at 36

Sold for blizz bicorne (~16 but needs mini; wont be far off) + ~25 in sweets

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211304128/#!/compare/1458457200/1458543600

Would be ~40 after formally miniing/updating the bic

I feel like that phantasm pompom is low at 29, Id rather see this priced with those 2 sales, to then use it for the pom to give that a high end