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Cause, see, they call me a menace and if the shoe fits I'll wear it.
But if it don't, then y'all'll swallow the truth, grin and bear it.
Express Yourself.
Sale #1
Sold for 16 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27791305
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159429099/#!/compare/1457424000/1457856000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092471230/#!/compare/1457769600/1457856000
Sale #2
Sold w/ a Fists of Steel (~0.05 ref) for ~13 keys worth of Strange Professional Killstreak Medic weapons + 5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27781887
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094670514/#!/compare/1454140800/1454400000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159429099/#!/compare/1454140800/1454313600
13 + 5 = 18 keys
Sale #3
Sold for an Australium SMG (~10 at the time) + 3 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046/#!/compare/1453968000/1454054400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094670514/#!/compare/1453968000/1454054400
10 + 3 = 13 keys
Sale #4
Bulk sale for a Molten Mallard Defiant Spartan
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046/#!/compare/1453881600/1453968000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125086452/#!/compare/1453881600/1453968000
Conclusion:
Sales at 13, 16 and 18. Buyer at 12.5 keys http://i.imgur.com/oIEFQz9.png and Sale #3 happened off market, so I'm ruling 13 keys as an outlier. Seller at 17 keys support the drop http://i.imgur.com/ymI60Ez.png Taking 16-18 keys as the new price.
Additional/Supportive and Counter Evidence is always appreciated.
Discovery out ヽ༼ຈل͜ຈ༽ノ
you didnt put 18 in the range when you said you would ;p
Well Im okay going 16-17 here actually. The 18 sale was far more than 18 (those med weps together are nearly 18 already, so that sale is closer to 23).
High outlier capped at current BO and low outlier omitted due to a buyer close to it. This should be fine as is.