Price Suggestion
~11 keys
n&b
Unusual Noble Nickel Amassment of Hats Nuts n' Bolts
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6 votes down
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Comments

Cause, see, they call me a menace and if the shoe fits I'll wear it.

But if it don't, then y'all'll swallow the truth, grin and bear it.


Express Yourself.


Sale #1

Sold for 16 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27791305

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159429099/#!/compare/1457424000/1457856000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092471230/#!/compare/1457769600/1457856000


Sale #2

Sold w/ a Fists of Steel (~0.05 ref) for ~13 keys worth of Strange Professional Killstreak Medic weapons + 5 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27781887

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094670514/#!/compare/1454140800/1454400000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159429099/#!/compare/1454140800/1454313600

13 + 5 = 18 keys


Sale #3

Sold for an Australium SMG (~10 at the time) + 3 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046/#!/compare/1453968000/1454054400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094670514/#!/compare/1453968000/1454054400

10 + 3 = 13 keys


Sale #4

Bulk sale for a Molten Mallard Defiant Spartan

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046/#!/compare/1453881600/1453968000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125086452/#!/compare/1453881600/1453968000


Conclusion:

Sales at 13, 16 and 18. Buyer at 12.5 keys http://i.imgur.com/oIEFQz9.png and Sale #3 happened off market, so I'm ruling 13 keys as an outlier. Seller at 17 keys support the drop http://i.imgur.com/ymI60Ez.png Taking 16-18 keys as the new price.


Additional/Supportive and Counter Evidence is always appreciated.


Discovery out ヽ༼ຈل͜ຈ༽ノ

    you didnt put 18 in the range when you said you would ;p

      Well Im okay going 16-17 here actually. The 18 sale was far more than 18 (those med weps together are nearly 18 already, so that sale is closer to 23).


      High outlier capped at current BO and low outlier omitted due to a buyer close to it. This should be fine as is.