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Number 2.
SALES:
Sale 1:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052015965/#!/compare/1454918400/1455004800
(Cancelling sweets on both sides down) Sold + sweets (~2 keys) for Mystery Smokey (Open suggestion at 33)
= 31
Sale 2:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200390582/#!/compare/1454313600/1454832000 Sold for Max (~30) + sweets (~1)
= 31
Let it ride.