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I have a headache.
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Sale 1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27937026 - b/o 14
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Sale 2
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110859198/#!/compare/1457596800/1457769600 - sold for a duped smoking milkman
can't find a mini, calling invalid.
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Sale 3
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131077446/#!/compare/1454486400/1454659200 - 16 pure
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Sale 4
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093526094/#!/compare/1457596800/1457769600 - sold with a Strange Killstreak Gold Botkiller Rocket Launcher (6) Mk.II + damage dealt part for a duped c. heart bombing run
x+6=27
x=21
mini on RL:
http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Killstreak%20Gold%20Botkiller%20Rocket%20Launcher%20Mk.II - last sold for $6.85 (2.75 keys + dmg dealt part (3) = 5.75 (6)
mini on duped bombing run:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075998447/#!/compare/1456214400/1456473600 - sold for a Orbiting Fire Master's Yellow Belt (27)
micro on belt:
27 keys - http://puu.sh/nKdIm/42f449bf75.png (all are clean)
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Sale 5
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115577512/#!/compare/1456992000/1457078400 - sold for 13 pure
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4 sellers @ 14 keys - http://puu.sh/nKcKG/77fcefb8b6.png
Sales @ 13, 14, 16, 21
Going with 13-21.. let it ride.
Considering the sales at 13 and 16 were both pure sales, and the sale at 21 is kinda risky, it would probably be best to exclude the sale at 21.
Also, the G. Confetti Baker Boy was involved in sale 4
Would have to agree with this ^^
21 seems like an outlier here.
You're right. Sale 4 seems sketchy anyways, resuggesting at 13-16.
Milkman being duped won't really matter and it supports the lower end. Plenty of sellers at 14 makes 21 a definite outlier.