Oh god, this took too much time.

Resuggesting this for Trust Me,I am An Indian

Sales

Sale 1

Sold for a Pro. Ks. Australium Scattergun (?)

http://imgur.com/a/c96Rh ----- Credits to Trust Me,I am An Indian

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148511293/#!/compare/1458111600/1458198000

19 keys were to quickbuy a Miami Slick Cut, as seen in that conversation.

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Mini for the Scattergun

http://imgur.com/xK689eO -------- It's being listed for 46 keys, other sellers for 47 keys, so taking 46.

=======> 46 keys

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=======> 46 keys

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Sale 2 ----- Credits to Shuffle Spy

Sold for a Darkblaze Texas Tin Gallon (?)

http://imgur.com/gallery/8Dsm3gE/new ---- Credits to JDRiot

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Mini for the Tin Gallon (unpriced)

Shuffle Spy found a mini for ~53 keys here: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/56c2a289b98d88087f2105d2 , but the Bone Dome buyer listed it for 35 keys after that: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27853290 , (he didn't value it above 35 keys) which was up for a while. So i will cap this sale at 35 keys.

=======> 35 keys

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=======> 35 keys

==============================================================================================================

Sale 3

Sold for a FN Pro. Ks. Low Profile SMG... + something else?

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019202858/#!/compare/1455609600/1456905600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216410464/#!/compare/1456732800/1456819200

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27853290 ---- Same 35 keys B/O of above.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,4588771912,30162,5 ---- Bone

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,4630095977,15058,5 ---- SMG

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,4608466224,104,5 ------ Mirror

Histories are weird. The Bone buyer appears to be "Wait What?", but only the SMG appears in his backpack. The Mirror and SMG appear in "cray_17"'s Outpost history, but the Bone Dome does not. I would say that the deal was the SMG + Mirror for the Bone, which most likely would be capped at the B/O of 35 keys. So i won't use this sale.

=======> Not using

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Sale 4

Sold for Planets Outdoorsman (?) + 9 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031405199/#!/compare/1456905600/1456992000

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Mini for the Outdoorsman

Sold for Flies Fuka (13 keys)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262215596/#!/compare/1457856000/1457938800

=======> 13 keys

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=======> 13 + 9 = 22 keys

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Sale 5

Sold for a G.E. Hotrod (31 keys)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031405199/#!/compare/1456992000/1457078400

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27917304 ---- No B/O

=======> 31 keys

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Sale 7

Sold for... something. Most likely SCM.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085347196/#!/compare/1457078400/1457164800

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27920708 ---- No B/O

=======> Not using

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Sale 8

Quicksold for... something.

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085347196/#!/compare/1457683200/1457769600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148511293/#!/compare/1457683200/1457769600

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27947415 ---- B/O was 20 keys

=======> Not using

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Sale 9

Apparent bulk sale for Demonflame Nano

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065913006/#!/compare/1455004800/1455091200

=======> Not using

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Sale 10

Sold with a duped P.E. Hotrod for a duped Flaming Lantern Tyrolean

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075491803/#!/compare/1455436800/1455523200

Probably too bulk to use here. Should be around 30-40 keys anyways.

=======> Not using

==============================================================================================================

Summary

- Sales for 46, 35, 22, 31.

- Quicksold with a B/O of 20 keys.

- Was offered on some hats that shouldn't be above 40 keys, as mentioned here: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/56c2a289b98d88087f2105d2

The sale for 22 is most likely an outlier, given how fast the one with a B/O of 20 sold. The seller had no Outpost history, so probably didn't know prices or the market very well.

That leaves us with a somewhat big and ugly 31-46 keys range, which should work here. It includes the most recent, almost pure sale, and other sales and B/Os.

So i'm going with 31-46 keys. Criticism appreciated!

So apparently it sold again for an Orbiting Fire Trilby (outdated at 18)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253382116/#!/compare/1458198000/1458284400

And for a Miami Toque (outdated at 27.5 keys)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145843391/#!/compare/1458370800/1458457200

Why would someone trade a Pro. Ks. Aussie Scatter (worth 46 keys) for it, and then give it away for a hat worth 18? That makes zero sense.

I'm closing this as it isn't worth the effort.