Suggestion: Flaming Lantern Physician's Protector at 30–40 keys

Price Suggestion

~42 keys

lantern

99 votes up

6 votes down

Related Suggestions

This suggestion was closed Tue, 05 Apr 16 01:54:12 +0000 by the submitter.

Comments can no longer be left on this suggestion.

Comments

We all could use a lantern to get through the dark and scary world of unusual suggestions.

This needs a price, and i own it, so let's do it.

Sales

Sale 1

Sold for Cauldron Bubbles Bucket Helm (?) + DP Burning Bandana (13.5 - up to date at the time of the sale)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052267968/#!/compare/1452931200/1453017600

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27689185 ----- B/O was 40 keys

Can't find a mini for the Helm. Just a 1:1 with a Cloudy Moon Hard Counter, which is also outdated.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052267968/#!/compare/1456560000/1456732800

This sale should be used to update both.

=======> Not using

==============================================================================================================

Sale 2

Sold for a GBH Otolaryngologist's Mirror (?)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197965486737/#!/compare/1454313600/1454400000

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27726002 ----- B/O was 52 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27785253 ----- No B/O for the Mirror

----------------------------------------------------------------

Mini for the Mirror

Two sales i can track: One for a Frostbite Medic's Mountain Cap (45.5)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197965486737/#!/compare/1455609600/1455696000

And another for a Sulphurous Stout Shako (?)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120494035/#!/compare/1456041600/1458284400

Can't find a mini for the Shako, but it had a B/O of 42 keys http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24584977 . I will cap the first sale and use 42.

=======> 42 keys

-----------------------------------------------------------------

=======> 42 keys

==============================================================================================================

Sale 3

No idea what did this sell for, but had a B/O of 40 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077087563/#!/compare/1454400000/1454659200

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27793074

=======> Not using

==============================================================================================================

Sale 4

Sold for... something

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117948497/#!/compare/1454313600/1454400000

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134552854/#!/compare/1452844800/1454400000

=======> Not using

==============================================================================================================

Sale 5

Sold for D@D Sola Topi (?) + N&B Professor's Peculiarity (20 keys)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104950749/#!/compare/1456646400/1456732800

----------------------------------------------------------------

Mini for the Topi

Can't find a mini that doesn't involve a scammer. It's currently for sale for 31 keys (young), so taking 31.

http://imgur.com/Oq9ju1m

=======> 31 keys

-----------------------------------------------------------------

The Physician buyer had both unusuals listed for 30 and 18 keys, so i will cap the sale at 48.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27904298

=======> 30 + 18 = 48 keys

==============================================================================================================

Sale 6

Sold for... a Smoking Belt (?)

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163221125/#!/compare/1456214400/1457078400

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104950749/#!/compare/1457078400/1457164800

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27908263 ----- B/O was 30 keys

----------------------------------------------------------------

Mini for the Belt

Sellers for 20, taking 20.

http://imgur.com/mNBIfEa

=======> 20 keys

-----------------------------------------------------------------

Doesn't make much sense (probably CS:GO stuff was added), but including it anyways.

=======> 20 keys

==============================================================================================================

Sale 7

Apparent Bulk sale for Screaming Tiger Fresh Brewed.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163221125/#!/compare/1457424000/1457596800

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27921674 ----- B/O was 40 keys

Paypal scammer was involved, not using anyways.

=======> Not using

==============================================================================================================

Sale 8

Sold with a T-Watt Bubble Pipe (?) + Pro. Ks. Grenade Kit (?) + Pro. Ks. Gunslinger Fab.(?) + Pro. Ks. Original Fab. (?) for a Harvest Moon Magistrate's Mullet (70 keys)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993973622/#!/compare/1457856000/1458111600

The Gunslinger kit is around 3 keys on SCM, the Original Fabricator sells for around ~5 keys, and the Grenade Kit is Fire Horns + Team Shine, so it probably will be above SCM price (which is around 13 keys). Doing maths, and using the outdated price on the Bubble Pipe, the Physician comes out at around 30 keys.

Since it's less than the 50% of the value of the Mullet, it's probably too bulk to use. And a Paypal scammer was involved, so can't use it anyways.

=======> Not using

==============================================================================================================

Sale 9

Sold with T-Watt Bubble Pipe (outdated at 20 keys) for a DBD Honcho (outdated at 27.5 keys)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993973622/#!/compare/1458111600/1458198000

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27963451 ----- B/O was probably removed.

I'm probably missing something, but the Physician will end up at around 10 keys.

=======> ~10 keys

==============================================================================================================

Sale 10

Bulk sale for my Scorching Pampered Pyro (?)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035118272/#!/compare/1458198000/1458284400

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27965352 ----- B/O was removed before i could check. I would bet it was 30 keys (or 35), but i'm not 100% sure.

Should be used to update the Pampered.

=======> Not using

==============================================================================================================

Summary

- Sales for 42, 48, 20 (?), ~10 (?).

- B/Os of other untraceable/unusable sales were around 40, 40, 30, 40, 30 (?).

Ok, now comes the interesting part. There are two sales above 40, but there is no point in including them in range with many B/Os at 40, so i will cap both sales at 40.

Turns out it has been sold for below 40 (probably outliers, but worth noting), with B/Os of 30 keys appearing two times, so it also deserves to be in range.

I will go with 30-40 keys, which should represent the common trading point here. Criticism appreciated!

this may sound kind of weird seeing how this suggestion has more sales than most others, but this hat will need more sales to determine a solid range if you ask me. Sales and buyouts seem to be all over the place. If these sales are correct, then Xanthus (bought for 48, sold for 20) did some serious downgrading. Weird thing is he paid 48 in hats (based on is own buyouts) for a hat he then resells with a buyout of 30, making me question that sale a lot, even though it seems to check out.

If you would take those two sales out, youre left with 42 and 10;

- 10 sale should not really be used due to the nature of the sale

- 42 sale is above most buyouts

Especially since the range is currently mainly made of buyouts instead of sales, Id say clearer sales are required here

I do get your point, although sale 1 should also be around this range. I will leave this open for the time being and do some research to see if i can gather more info.

Ok, sale 1 can be used here. The CM Hard Counter sold for a duped Smoking Bonk Boy (clean is 27) + Flies Baker (17 - was up to date at the time of the sale).

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209248312/#!/compare/1455955200/1456041600

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27761635 ---- B/O was 36, so it will be capped at B/O no matter what (i doubt the Bonk Boy will be under 19).

The Cauldron Helm will be 36, so sale 1 comes out at 49.5, capped at the B/O of 40. What do you say, resuggest at 40-42, 40 flat, or leave this as it is?

You can already go on and price the helm and the counter (Note that I didnt check if everything is correct yet, but if those sales are as you showed, they should be fine).

For this I'd like to wait longer either way. With the amount of buyouts mentioned at ~30 I feel 40 flat would be too high, so Id think 30-40 would be more accurate than 40 flat though.

Yeah, i'm pricing the Hard Counter and Helm now.

I'm leaving this open as i agree with 30-40 being more accurate. Unpriced hats tend to have sales all over the place as people don't know their real value.

That's a lot of sales for a recent Halloween cosmetic...

Everything checks out. Easy upvote.

That's a Gun Mettle Cosmetic. I think you mean a not so recent Halloween effect :P