Price Suggestion
~121 keys
stormy
Unusual Patriot Peak Stormy Storm
62 votes up
27 votes down
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Comments

Boy, I decided to challenge myself, and I got the challenge I was looking for.

I may do a suggestion every decade or so.


I am still new to suggesting, so please help me out if there is anything wrong. I've never done minis before.


Sales:

--> Frostbite Jeepcap (61 Keys)

(Pepsi's comparison: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049112605/#!/compare/1455609600/1455696000)

(Sorry's comparison: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970977889/#!/compare/1455436800/1455696000)


--> Haunted Phantasm Jr. Milkman (50 Keys)

(Sorry's comparison: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970977889/#!/compare/1456300800/1456473600)

(Ace's comparison: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030608608/#!/compare/1456387200/1456473600)


--> Flies Pyromancer's Hood (67 Keys)

(Ace's comparison: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030608608/#!/compare/1456560000/1456646400)

(Grounded's comparison: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198238854082/#!/compare/1456560000/1456646400)


--> Vivid Rebel Rouser (42 - 51)

(Kyrio's comparison: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163032905/#!/compare/1458025200/1458543600)

(Lag's comparison: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996095002/#!/compare/1457938800/1458025200)


I will add in Jack's sale if he sells it. He's currently offline however.

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Mini's:

Frostbite Jeepcap

--> Sold with 8 Keys for Searing Mountebank's Masque (updated: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/56ed738bb98d88ac4e75a058) ~62 Keys

(Martin's comparison: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068972567/#!/compare/1456819200/1456905600)

(Oatscar's comparison: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087373387/#!/compare/1456905600/1457078400)


--> Sold for Haunted Ghosts Headwarmer + 5 Keys, up-to-date at the time of trade at 60 Keys. ~65 Keys

(Yurchik's comparison: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061376237/#!/compare/1455177600/1455264000)

(Sorry's comparison: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970977889/#!/compare/1455177600/1455264000)


Second sale appears to have been offered on the Jeepcap, so with overpay in mind, I'll use Bp.tf price of 61 keys, sales are consistant.


Haunted Phantasm Jr. Milkman

--> Conceivably sold for 39 Keys + Bruiser, FN skin and Str. Degreaser. ~45

(Sorry's comparison: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970977889/#!/compare/1456473600/1456560000)

(can't find the other participant in this trade)


--> Sold for DBD Tossle Cap, priced shortly before the sale. ~50-60

(Flare's comparison: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182399626/#!/compare/1456560000/1456646400)

(Captain Milk's comparison: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112178632/#!/compare/1456473600/1456646400)


Seems to meet at 50.


Flies Pyromancer's Hood

--> Sold with 19 Keys for Burning Crocleather Slouche (updated: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/569e5eb2ba8d88d441e4f793) ~71

(Desertbuggy's comparison: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885/#!/compare/1456041600/1456560000)

(Grounded's comparison: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198238854082/#!/compare/1456473600/1456560000)


--> Sold for Scorching Gridiron Guardian (updated: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/56754c70ba8d88697ca94ac7) and C9 Jefe (fairly updated at the time: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5632cf67b98d88d444e94b0e) ~67

(TheDemon's comparison: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120347528/#!/compare/1457251200/1457337600)

(Konata's comparison: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087968709/#!/compare/1457251200/1457337600)


Using 67.


Vivid Rebel Rouser

(updated) http://backpack.tf/vote/id/56ec302dba8d88dd45186349

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Vivid Rebel is 42 to 51, Flies Pyromancer's hood is 67. 50-60 Should work here.


Please feel free to help me out here, I still don't have much experience.

    You certainly picked a hard suggestion :P


    Unfortunately, there's a seller (unsold for 2 days) at 35 keys - http://puu.sh/nPhLQ/ea50b64802.png


      Yeah, I noticed that. I was concerned about that. If it sells within another day or so, I still think it would qualify as a quicksell (there aren't as many buyers for unpriced Unusuals, so it would probably take longer).


      I was hoping with my four sales, that would either be ruled as a quicksell or an outlier. So how should I consider that listing then?

        Definetly keep an eye on it... Even if it sells though, you could probably consider it as an outlier, because of your other sales :P


        You should keep up your suggesting! It's quite good!

          I'll bookmark the stats page, I'll try to monitor if he bumps it often when he's online or if it sells, of course.

          Thank you, though! I hope I can learn more and maybe become a regular suggester eventually.

            Yeah! No problem, if you need any help, feel free to add me, I'd be happy to help you

              Listing gone?

                Ah, it does appear to be. I'll check it's history and if it did sell, I'll add it to the top. I would think that around 2 days (including nights and periods of inactivity) could be considered a quicksell for an unpriced unusual at 35 Keys.

                  You have 2 Sales @60+

                  It's safe to call 35 an Outliner if it sold for that ^~^

                    I can't seem to find what he sold it for anyway, the person who now holds it lost some 40-50 keys in the past 24 hours, but Jack only seems to have received 10 in that time...

                    Well, whatever. I'll add a little thing for it at the top. Thanks for the help!

                    I guess I'm not, I forgot I couldn't edit it. Not important though, I have the four important sales

                      Oh sorry about that backpack history mess. I just converted 150 CS:GO keys into TF2 :P


                      I bought it for 35 keys. Proof in case you need to take this sale in account: http://imgur.com/a/po3JO

                        Alright, thanks a lot, that clears it up. Unfortunately I can't edit that into the top, but hopefully the pricing mods will look through these comments and see this.

          Yeah, that was mentioned by Maximus above your comment. The seller is offline at the moment, but I'm monitoring his listing to see if it sells soon (selling an unpriced unusual at 35 keys within a couple days would be a "quicksale"), but it could also possibly be an outlier. Not sure about it, it does contradict my evidence, so I'm keeping an eye on it to see what becomes of it.

          because he did not say anything about quicksell

            A seller doesn't necessarily need to say the word for it to be a quicksell, he could still be selling it for what he deems a good deal to try and sell it quickly. It is really the buyers who make it a "quicksell" if it sells fast, and a couple days would be fast for selling an unpriced unusual for 35 keys. But even so, it doesn't rule out the possibility of his sale being an outlier either way. Like I said, I'll monitor his listing to see what happens.

            okay man

              Hey, the Mountebank's Masque isn't 62 anymore, it's actually 66 keys. It was resuggested not too long ago, maybe you should resuggest with the new price? http://backpack.tf/vote/id/56f9a328c4404516147ac9f9 This could be the reason why it's not being accepted.

                The new price for it is 62-70, and after subtracting the 8 keys the buyer added to buy it, that sale would make the Jeepcap worth 54-62 keys, so I don't think that would conflict with my suggested price, but would better support 50-60. That said, I don't think I would need to resuggest just for additional evidence for a mini, but I will include it if I do need to resuggest later.


                Thank you, though. That does help. It's probably taking awhile because it's a fairly new unpriced hat, so it would be a more important decision whether or not to accept this price.

                http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996095002?time=1460246400 - added an aussie FJ for the tartan. b/o on tartan at 55. So sale is probably ~45 or so


                http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068404730/#!/compare/1460160000/1460246400 - muffs are outdated... but it's probably more than 60 here


                http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163032905/#!/compare/1458025200/1458543600 - sale around ~45


                Range could be 45-65, but I have no problem with a narrowing to 50-60