Watch as I combine all the juice from the mind.

Heel up, wheel up, bring it back, come, rewind.

1 year since my first suggestion :D https://backpack.tf/vote/id/550e4a62ba8d88f0188b4a8f

Sale #1

No return on seller's side; paypal trade maybe?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048497407/#!/compare/1457078400/1457251200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078041564/#!/compare/1456905600/1457337600

Sale #2

Sold for an Atomic Captain Space Mann (~130, mini below) + Electric Hat Protector A Head Full of Hot Air (~22, mini below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27857443

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033165804/#!/compare/1455696000/1456560000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078041564/#!/compare/1456214400/1456732800

130 + 22 = 152 keys

Atomic Space Mann mini

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27899301 - 3 weeks at 130 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27630359 - 2 months at 140 keys

Taking this as 130 keys

E. Hat Procteor AHFOHA mini

Sold for a Molten Mallard Broadband Bonnet (~22.5) + 2 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27903125

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137326099/#!/compare/1456300800/1456646400

22.5 + 2 = 25 keys

2 sellers at 22 keys on the Classifieds, capping at that.

Sale #3

Sold for a Duped Cloudy Moon Troublemaker's Tosslecap (~160, mini below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27826749

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045366924/#!/compare/1455609600/1455696000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033165804/#!/compare/1455264000/1455609600

= 160 keys

Duped C. Moon Tossle mini

Sales, where are you? ;-;

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27946929 - 1 week at 175 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27844846 - took nearly a month to sell at 180 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27809422 - 1 month at 160-180 keys

Taking this as 160 keys

Sale #4

Sold for a Blizzardy Storm El Jefe + Craft #10 Grizzled Growth + Craft #18 Blind Justice + Field-Tested Strange Hot Specialized Killstreak Blitzkrieg Medi-Gun

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27788701

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115775158/#!/compare/1454486400/1454572800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045366924/#!/compare/1454486400/1454572800

~> no valid minis for most of these items; not using

Sale #5

Sold for a Chiroptera Venenata Outta' Sight + Screaming Tiger Tuant: Deep Fried Desire+ Green Confetti Big Country + Professional Killstreak Australium Axtinguisher

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000174125/#!/compare/1454140800/1454227200

~> was used to price the Outta' Sight; can't use

Sale #6

Sold for a Circling Peace Sign Tipped Lid (~100) + Field-Tested Cool Brain Candy Rocket Launcher (~38, mini below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27754246

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120347528/#!/compare/1454054400/1454140800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000174125/#!/compare/1454054400/1454140800

100 + 38 = 138 keys

FT Cool Brain Candy RL mini

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Brain%20Candy%20Rocket%20Launcher%20%28Field-Tested%29

Sales:

$101.03

$97.75

$85.00

$96.94

$88.52

$92.00

$100.00

Average comes out at ~94.46

Taking Keys as $2.50

$94.46 / $2.50 = ~38 keys

Conclusion:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27957692 - 1 week at 180 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27936371 - 1 week at 170 keys

Sellers support a drop. Sales at 138, 152 and 160. Taking 140-160 keys as the new price.

Additional/Supportive and Counter Evidence is always appreciated.

Discovery out ヽ༼ຈل͜ຈ༽ﾉ