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Ty for the outpost link slaven.
First, buyers on classies: http://m.imgur.com/oF0tGJs
X1 at 2.44
X3 at 2.33
Now the sale at 3.33: http://m.imgur.com/VGIGguE
BUT there is a seller for 3 ref on outpost at 6 days(ty slaven) hence the more conservative raise: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27960877
Sellers under 3.33 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27985400 - 2.33 ref, 2 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27981502 - 2.33 ref, 4 days, unbumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27993978 - 2.33 ref, young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27968945 - 2.66 ref, 1 week, poorly bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27984697 - 3 ref, 3 days, selling 7, hasn't sold any
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27960877 - 3 ref, 1 week
Classifieds at the time of posting:
https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=El+Patron&quality=6&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1 -> http://i.imgur.com/ij2NXIn.png
Sell Orders:
x2 at 3 ref
x3 at 3.33 ref (1 unsold for 5 days)
Buy Orders:
x1 at 2.55 ref
x2 at 2.44 ref
x2 at 2.33 ref
With those buyers, the current price does seem low, but 3.33 ref also seems like an outlier. Neutral.