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Sale #1:
Sold with 1 Key for Pro KS Aussie Flamethrower
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159697916/#!/compare/1458543600/1458630000
Lowest on steam market is $87.40, $76.12 after taxes.
76.12 / 2.5 = 30.442 Keys - 1 = 29.442 Keys
Prob going to round to 29 for this one.
Sale #2:
Sold for Miami Nights Rebel Rouser (open suggestion at 28 Keys) + 7 Keys Pure
http://i.imgur.com/rVrM3qv.png
http://backpack.tf/item/4585762733
28 + 7 = 35 Keys
based on classified sellers of the flamethrower, that first sale should be ~27, but this should be close enough