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Time Warp Milkman 1 of 2 - don't have premium so we're using this one: http://backpack.tf/item/1662434758
I heard the overpay rule is no longer in effect, so I'm not going to apply any. Let me know if I'm wrong though.
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Sale 1 - 33 keys
Sold for a Clean max head + 3 keys + 5 ref (outlier)
http://i.imgur.com/4ctgBhG.png
However, let me know if I should include this sale.
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Sale 2 - 40 keys
Sold for an Australium Killstreak Sniper Rifle (40 keys)
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037404583?time=1457164800
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037404583?time=1457729059
There's a big gap because the user did not have mobile auth on.
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Sale 3 - 57 keys
Sold for a Smoking KE + 12 keys in items (44.5 + 12 = 56.5 rounded to 57)
http://i.imgur.com/SFMxZPk.png
The sweets:
5 keys, 19.11 ref, 3 keys in taunts, 1 key in hats, a Spec KS Unique Scatter (1 key), and an Ap Sap (0.78 keys) which is 11.62 keys rounded to 12. No idea what the rules are on items but I'm not applying paint and strange parts.
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Sale 4 - 55 keys
Sold for a Professional Killstreak Aussie Medi Gun (44), + Strange Pan (8) + Strange Gaiter Guards (2.5) + Strange Spec KS Scatter (2.3) + Strange Grenade Launcher + Strange Eyelander (55 keys total)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066913399/#!/compare/1459123200/1459209600
There are buyers at 44 and sellers at 45 for the Medi Gun. I'm going to use 44 as a base price. http://i.imgur.com/En8lpiT.png
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Let me know if I missed any sales.
Didn't have to do any minis FeelsGoodMan
In your sale 2, it actually sold for a spec ks aussie scatter ~38 + ~2 in sweets:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034095893/#!/compare/1457251200/1457596800
here's the history:
http://backpack.tf/item/2443684760
The scatter was likely purchased with the sniper + the taunts that are seen in the buyers compare links.
On the bright side, that's positive here, since the scatter + sweets would be 40, whereas a ks aussie sniper is actually closer to 34:
http://backpack.tf/stats/Strange/Killstreak%20Australium%20Sniper%20Rifle/Tradable/Craftable
This means that coincidentally the sales still all check out, this should be all fine