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Nuclear Guano.
http://backpack.tf/item/2049670400
Sale 1) Sold for an Ooze Merc's Mohawk
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087962998/#!/compare/1455091200/1455177600
Using for the Mohawk
Sale 2) Sold for a Hellfire Das Hazmattenhatten (230) + Factory New Strange Purple Range Sniper Rifle (53.5)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160/#!/compare/1459555200/1459641600 - Seller
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118821301/#!/compare/1459555200/1459641600 - Buyer
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27973653 - Capped by the Buyout of 250 Keys
Sniper Rifle Mini
Using the 2 most recent sales (126.5, 160) and averaging those to $143.25 (Seller receives $124.58)
http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Purple%20Range%20Sniper%20Rifle%20%28Factory%20New%29
124.58 / 2.5 = ~50 Keys
143.25 / 2.5 = ~57 Keys
Taking 53.5 Keys
I think it's best to leave this priced as is. Three sales. Mercs would be ~200 if we used the merc to price this. Other sale at 160. And then you have the one at 280 (capped by the b/o). I think going 250 flat may be too high. Best to wait for another sale.