Resuggesting with a new sale.

Sales

Sale 1

Sold for Cauldron Bubbles Bucket Helm (32.5) + DP Burning Bandana (13.5 - up to date at the time of the sale)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052267968/#!/compare/1452931200/1453017600

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27689185 ----- B/O was 40 keys

=======> Capped at 40 keys

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Sale 2

Sold for a GBH Otolaryngologist's Mirror (?)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197965486737/#!/compare/1454313600/1454400000

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27726002 ----- B/O was 52 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27785253 ----- No B/O for the Mirror

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Mini for the Mirror

Two sales i can track: One for a Frostbite Medic's Mountain Cap (45.5)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197965486737/#!/compare/1455609600/1455696000

And another for a Sulphurous Stout Shako (?)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120494035/#!/compare/1456041600/1458284400

Can't find a mini for the Shako.

=======> 45.5 keys

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=======> ~46 keys

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Sale 3

No idea what did this sell for, but had a B/O of 40 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077087563/#!/compare/1454400000/1454659200

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27793074

=======> Not using

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Sale 4

Sold for... something

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117948497/#!/compare/1454313600/1454400000

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134552854/#!/compare/1452844800/1454400000

=======> Not using

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Sale 5

Sold for D@D Sola Topi (?) + N&B Professor's Peculiarity (20 keys)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104950749/#!/compare/1456646400/1456732800

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Mini for the Topi

Sold for a Pro. Ks. Aussie Blutsauger (?) + 16 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021024511/#!/compare/1459036800/1459296000

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27991249 ---- B/O was 30 keys.

http://imgur.com/eZNTs2d ------- Blutsauger sellers for ~13.5 keys, taking 13.5.

=======> 29.5 keys

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=======> 29.5 + 18 = ~48 keys

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Sale 6

Sold for... a Smoking Belt (?)

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163221125/#!/compare/1456214400/1457078400

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104950749/#!/compare/1457078400/1457164800

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27908263 ----- B/O was 30 keys

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Mini for the Belt

Sellers for 20, taking 20.

http://imgur.com/mNBIfEa

=======> 20 keys

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Doesn't make much sense to buy it for ~48 and sell it for 20, but including it anyways.

=======> 20 keys

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Sale 7

Apparent Bulk sale for Screaming Tiger Fresh Brewed.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163221125/#!/compare/1457424000/1457596800

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27921674 ----- B/O was 40 keys

Paypal scammer was involved, not using anyways.

=======> Not using

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Sale 8

Sold with a T-Watt Bubble Pipe (?) + Pro. Ks. Grenade Kit (?) + Pro. Ks. Gunslinger Fab.(?) + Pro. Ks. Original Fab. (?) for a Harvest Moon Magistrate's Mullet (70 keys)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993973622/#!/compare/1457856000/1458111600

The Gunslinger kit is around 3 keys on SCM, the Original Fabricator sells for around ~5 keys, and the Grenade Kit is Fire Horns + Team Shine, so it probably will be above SCM price (which is around 13 keys). Doing maths, and using the outdated price on the Bubble Pipe, the Physician comes out at around 30 keys.

Since it's less than the 50% of the value of the Mullet, it's probably too bulk to use. And a Paypal scammer was involved, so can't use it anyways.

=======> Not using

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Sale 9

Sold with T-Watt Bubble Pipe (outdated at 20 keys) for a DBD Honcho (outdated at 27.5 keys)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993973622/#!/compare/1458111600/1458198000

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27963451 ----- B/O was probably removed.

I'm probably missing something, but the Physician will end up at around 10 keys. There is a quickbuyer for 18 keys ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27702267 ), so this sale is an outlier.

=======> Not using

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Sale 10

Bulk sale for my Scorching Pampered Pyro (?)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035118272/#!/compare/1458198000/1458284400

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27965352 ----- B/O was removed before i could check. I would bet it was 30 keys (or 35), but i'm not 100% sure.

Should be used to update the Pampered.

=======> Not using

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Sale 11

Sold for a Strange Normal Medigun (42.5) + 5 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964393843/#!/compare/1459641600/1459814400

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27980214 ----- My B/O was 40 keys

=======> Capped at 40 keys

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Summary

- Sales for 40, 46, 48, 20 (?), 40.

- B/Os of other untraceable/unusable sales were around 40, 40, 30, 40, 30 (?).

With 4 sales above or around 40, and many B/Os of 40 keys, i will go with 40 keys flat, which should represent the common trading point or pure value here. It's almost the mid value between the highest sale (48) and the lowest B/O (30), so this should work.

Criticism appreciated!