Suggestion: Orbiting Planets Scot Bonnet at 37–50 keys

Price Suggestion

~440 keys

o.plnts

67 votes up

15 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Tue, 26 Apr 16 02:14:17 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Again, thanks Jarool.

Counter to http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5701bbef83de6b7dbb2b21d9, you had a day to create those minis, so...

Sale 1:

Sold 1:1 with a Massed Flies Chill Chullo. Ignore the Hat to Kill For, was being brokered at the same time the trade took place.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049800876/#!/compare/1456905600/1456992000

Sale comes out at ~36.5, rounding to 37.

Sale 2:

Sold for a Smoking Le Party Phantom (Duped), Smoking Towering Titanium Pillar of Hats (Outdated), and 3 Keys in Sweets

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049800876/#!/compare/1459555200/1459641600

(15 + 31.5+ 3) = 49.5, rounding to ~50 Keys.

Mini on Smoking Party Phantom:

Sold for a Hot Low Profile SMG (FT)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155957933/#!/compare/1459555200/1459641600

SCM:

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Low%20Profile%20SMG%20%28Field-Tested%29

Last 5 Solds (I really don't think that effect matters for these things or sales.):

37.69$ / 2.49$ (avg price of Keys) = 15.137 keys or ~15 Keys

Another Sale for the Phantom:

Sold for a Steaming Towering Pillar of Hats (Outdated at 15, but supporting proof for calculations)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155957933/#!/compare/1459382400/1459814400

Mini on Smoking Towering Titanium Pillar of Hats:

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/570322a6c440454ed2777e56

Going with about 31.5 here.

Any suggestions or constructive criticism is always welcome.

I think a 13 key range might be a little much, I can't help but think the 50 keys might be an outlier of sorts since the others are in the 30-40 range or so.

A 13 key range is admittedly large but acceptable.

However,

@Suggester you don't need a mini for the Duped Smoking Phantom.

http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/6033-guide-for-unusual-price-suggestions/#entry167485

Sorting By Value

2.5-3 buds: 2% <---- Hats under 3 buds in value should no longer need minis if they are duped

3-5 buds: 8%

5-8 buds: 9%

8-10 buds: 12%

10-15 buds: 12%

15-20 buds: 10%

>20 buds: 12%

2.5-3 buds = 25-30 keys

So you should take the Phantom as it's original price of 20-26 keys. That would mean an even larger range, though. In that case, I'd just wait for some more sales.

Considering the two most recent sales of the phantom were with an avg. value of 15 Keys each, even if one of them used an outdated Steaming Towering Pillar of Hats, I'm sure that would still support having the phantom being used as 15 keys in this suggestion.

Of course, if it DOES happen to be updated and the phantom was to be sold again, I'll be watching it. Right now, though, having a range of 37-57 seems much too large than what should be acceptable for this suggestion.

Well, that's just the suggestor's discretion. From what I can gather from the seller, the buyer offered that on his Scot Bonnet, so I'm not quite sure if that could necessarily count as an outlier or not, as this hat hasn't sold for a while due to being in a collector's BP since October of last year.

This will likely require another sale to determine the outlier here.

As for the smoking phantom: As discovery pointed out, for hats below ~25 keys, you can take the value of your duped hats at their clean equivalent. 15 is very low for that; theres quickbuyers paying more for dupes than that.

Since that'd bring the range to 37-60 (approx), Id prefer to see another sale here. if no other sales happen, I guess a wide range will be needed.