Sale 1:

Sold for 15 keys, a ToD Ticket and an All-Father Strangifier Chemistry Set

3 day hold

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27891915 - Deleted B/O

Seller before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516/#!/compare/1456387200/1456473600

Seller after: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516/#!/compare/1456646400/1456732800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119075619/#!/compare/1456041600/1456905600

All-Father Strangifier requires a Strange Machina to complete, making it worthless, basically.

It has not re-sold, either.

X = 15 + 0.4

X = 15 (rounded)

Sale 2:

Sold for 15 keys

No outpost link available

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175249965/#!/compare/1457769600/1457856000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137712505/#!/compare/1457769600/1457856000

X = 15

Sale 3:

Sold for 18 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27951465 - B/O of 18

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137712505/#!/compare/1457856000/1457938800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055134408/#!/compare/1457424000/1457938800

X = 18

Sale 4:

Sold for 16 keys + 10 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27769981 - No B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100514826/#!/compare/1454054400/1454140800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196618030/#!/compare/1454054400/1454140800

X = 16.6

X = 17 (rounded)

Sale 5:

Sold for 16 keys

No outpost link available

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064222030/#!/compare/1454659200/1454832000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053798945/#!/compare/1454745600/1454832000

X = 16

Sale 6:

Appears to have quicksold for 14 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27868855 - B/O of 15.5

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081708199/#!/compare/1455868800/1455955200

Cannot find buyer’s backpack

X = 14

Sale 7:

Sold for Peace Sign Dr’s Dapper Topper + ~9 keys in items

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119563409/#!/compare/1458284400/1458370800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198206903132/#!/compare/1458284400/1458370800

No mini is needed to tell that this sale is an outlier. (I do plan on working on the peace dapper, however)

This would put the sale at 29 keys. Definite outlier.

No current sellers

Sales at:

14 (quicksold)

15 (pure)

15 (pure)

16 (pure)

17 (pure)

18 (pure)

Going with 15-18