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Wasn't sure if I should make low end 17.77 or 17.88 ref, but I will give this a try.
Classifieds:
http://i.imgur.com/5jn3Lyq.png
4 pages selling at 17.88 ref, 1 page selling at 17.77 ref.
First 3 pages range from 17.66 ref to 18.11 ref for buyers.
Scrap.tf:
https://scrap.tf/keys selling for 17.77, buying for 17.55 ref.
Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27627902 16.77 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28045749 17 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28028452 17 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28047281 17.66 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27861411 17.66 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28043618 17.66 ref (low end)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28041606 17.66 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27745684 17.66 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28033884 17.66 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28030896 17.66 ref
------------------------------------------------------------------------
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28046177 17.77 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28046986 17.77 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28032668 17.77 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28036609 17.77 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28012346 17.77 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27916292 17.88 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28043785 17.88 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27697944 17.88 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27969162 17.88 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27348151 17.88 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28046178 17.88 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28044840 17.88 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28041487 17.88 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28040929 17.88 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27952588 17.88 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28035689 17.88 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28025561 17.88 ref (low end)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28045645 17.88 ref
------------------------------------------------------------------------
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27674070 18 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27355325 18 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28047037 18 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28046833 18 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28011857 18 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28029498 18 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28022220 18 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28001121 18 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28042673 18 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28028286 18 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27546363 18 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28037191 18 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27428948 18 ref
------------------------------------------------------------------------
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28007676 18.11 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25718541 18.33 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27745231 18.33 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27941503 18.33 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27767886 18.33 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27277215 18.55 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27843086 19 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25784314 19 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28025835 19.77 ref
In conclusion keys for 17.77 ref and 17.88 ref are very common, they aren't hard to find anymore. I have decided to keep 18 ref in the range since there are a few buyers for 18 ref (as seen in classifieds), and still quite some sellers for 18 ref. I made 17.88 ref the low end instead of 17.77 because 17.88 is way more common. I think I may have missed some 17.88 ref sales, but hopefully this will suffice.
17.66 ref and below are outliers as well as 18.11 ref and above. There aren't many though, but just to add in for evidence, why buy it for 18.11 ref when you can get it much cheaper anyways?
http://www.trade.tf/mybots/sellers/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key
6 sellers at 17.88 ref and 5 sellers at 17.77 ref, seems like 17.77 ref sellers are increasing, but I will stick with 17.88 ref with low end since that is still more common. Also many of them are selling these in bulks, so that may be worth noting too!
http://i.imgur.com/EEEZODl.png
Wow, this is astounding for a first suggestion!
Yah, from what you've got here it looks like we can drop keys a bit.
[EDIT]: Man, if even scrap.tf is selling for 17.77, it's a wonder this drop hasn't come about sooner.
Thank you! :) Glad to know this was a good suggestion, I just threw that in there to show that it's easier to get keys lower than 18 ref.
Don't take my word too strongly, I'm no good at actually suggestion.
I'm a hella good bystander, tho
Few buyers at 18 ref and 1 buyer at 18.11 but buying in bulk
I've been watching that one, they haven't been online for over a day, and only have enough metal in their backpack to buy one key by now. The listing also doesn't appear to have been bumped in three days, checking their profile.
TBH i think 18 ref is a steady and stable price for the keys
Well the 18 ref is still going to be in the suggested range, but I have suggested for the low end to be 17.88 ref because there are numerous sellers at 17.88 ref. So some traders, like me, would just buy the keys for 17.88 ref instead of 18 ref. There are probably more 17.88 ref sellers than 18 ref but I may be wrong on that one, so don't quote me on that. There aren't many buyers for 18 ref anyways, just a few, so it won't be that easy to sell for 18 ref especially when you can get it for 17.88 ref.
EDIT: No buyers above 17.77 ref in classifieds now.
U might be lucky and find servers that people might buy keys for 18 ref
That still doesn't change the fact that you can still buy from those who are willing to sell their keys for 17.88 ref.
Can't find many buyers at 17.88, much less 18 ref.
The rest are selling @ or below 17.77
But I am not too sure yet. You will have to keep updating with buyers too. I will stay neutral.
Why are ppl disliking this?
he is right. IF OP can proof that buyers buy below 17.88 and ppl sell below 18 , this is good. If in 1 or 2 days, everything raise this is invlaid.
This is how price suggestions work.
staying neutral
I was wondering the same thing, ha.
I guess people are salty I have an opinion or something.
Use the listings on trade.tf for more proof
I don't use trade.tf so that didn't come to my mind. I will be sure to take a look into it though! Thanks for telling me.
Dont bother.
We don't support it anymore.
buyers at 17.88.
I don't understand, the suggestion isn't valid because of buyers at 17.88 ref? Aren't successful trades supposed to be proof for suggestion? My evidence probably doesn't show the trades, but there is more than likely successful trades from traders in my proof because there are sellers and buyers at 17.88 ref. If both sides have same price they are willing to buy/sell then there will be successful trades. Feel free to counter my suggestion, but I just don't understand your comment.
I don't see an successful trades (that is, if you mean sales). And yes, generally when you lower a price, and there are buyers at that price, then the suggestion is invalid. Forget what I said about buyers at 17.88 though haha, there's only one..
Just fyi, there are multiple sellers at 17.77 and scrap.tf is selling at 17.77 as well.
Yes I'm aware of that, the amount of sellers at 17.77 ref increased after I made this suggestion. I'm considering re-suggesting with 17.77 ref instead of 17.88 ref, but I will give it time first.
Amazing. Upvote :)
I have re-suggested for the keys to be 17.77-18 ref instead of 17.88-18 ref, closing this one.