Suggestion: Sunbeams Cotton Head at 1500 keys

Price Suggestion

~137 keys

sunbeams

28 votes up

13 votes down

Related Suggestions

This suggestion was closed Wed, 04 May 16 18:30:01 +0000 by polar.

Comments can no longer be left on this suggestion.

Comments

Resuggesting. There's absolutely no reason for that one-sale price suggestion to remain closed.

Sale #1 - http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060488196/#!/compare/1457856000/1458111600

Duped Sunbeams Cotton Head sold for a Sunbeams Vive La France (900) + a Stormy 13th Hour KE (620)

~1500

Sale #2 - http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107740754/#!/compare/1454572800/1454659200

Clean Sunbeams Cotton Head sold for a Purple Energy TC (420) + 136 pure keys

~550

Additionnal info: It sold in A SINGLE DAY of the original owner'ss trade being up. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27804666 (Check dates)

Current sellers,proving that there are no sellers under 2000

Clean - B/O 3000 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27907652

Duped - B/O 2500 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27961896

Clean - B/O 2300 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28033578

Clean - B/O 2000 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27989771

Keep in mind that these two sales are the only valid and traceable ones ever since it became all-class.

Conclusion

We all know that dupes < cleans. If a dupe manages to fetch 1500, it is most-certain that 550 should instantly considered an outlier due to the time-factor and extreme difference in prices. I'd insta-pay 700 in unus for any beams cotton head anyday.

Only 8 more days and this #1 sale will be a month-old.

ADDITIONNAL INFO: Sale #2 happened Feb 5th. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27804666

The all-class update happened February 29th. https://wiki.teamfortress.com/wiki/Cotton_Head#Update_history

I would probably wait for at least another sale at around 1500 to prove its validity. Quicksale at 550 does help, but since it is 1000 keys below the other sale - it doesn't completely negate the possibility that every sale after the 1500 one is at 1000 keys.

even then, it's BEFORE it got all-class.

The second sale is before it got all-class? I thought it was after based on this "Keep in mind that these two sales are the only valid and traceable ones ever since it became all-class."

hah, woops, totally missed that. My bad.

No problem :) I should have checked the dates. Good luck with the suggestion, I'm guessing it will be left up until there's another sale. I would bet that next sale will be around 1500 like you also think, but it's just shaky to price a hat based on one sale. Reddit would have another "fuck bp.tf, they're manipulators of high tiers bleh bleh" fiasco if they found out something was priced on one sale xD

i literally just told you that woifi pointed out that we need wait for more CLEAN sales. thanks for listening me :)

Well what I meant is that it will be left up and mods wait and see if another sale happens.

Also @yahi. If you pay 700 for another cotton head then there would be a suggestion at 550-700. ;)

I dio get how unrealisticly low 700 is; it's only UP there to show how ridiculously low 550 is.

And, over that, the hell you're talking bout with that range of 550-750? Aren't you, as an experienced price moderator, supposed to have full knowledge over the many rules of price suggesting, even though you're litterally negating the "ommit all sales before a multi-vlass update" rule? Why did that one PE HWNN suggestion get rejected, if that rule 'does not exist'?

"Keep in mind that these two sales are the only valid and traceable ones ever since it became all-class."

Well not my fault that you write garbage in your suggestion.^^

Of course the 550-700 hypothesis is from the table then, you don't have to explain me the rules thank you.

I already apologised for it being a mistake in expressing and even pointed out that the sale happened AFTER the all-class update in my post (couldn't edit since it was an hour late)

You apologized for that 13 minutes ago, 6 hours after my post. :P

Thanks for Crediting me on sale 2 :)

Just wanting to point out, ME Koala is the one who founded sale #2 , and commented it and i should've atleast got Credited

But as yahiamice loves me so much he didint do it ^__^

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/56e96318dea9e97442c42c50

http://backpack.tf/vote/id/56fc1d97c44045275265e06e

*There is the comments* Also, - Yeah as i said that its better to wait for more sale happens. :)

Why did you make this suggestion? There are clean ones on the market and a duped sale pricing a new all-class hat is just like pricing an unpriced hat with a duped sale imo. Wait for the clean ones to sell to see if they come out around the clean sale's range (or just because they're better to price this hat with right now).

I just bought one for secret cm, vivid antlers, hearts brotherhood, planets viewfinder and blizzardly sultan

Just had a deep-in look at the hats involved in your sale; Antlers, brotherhood and VVF are all outdated with absolutely no recent traceable or valid sales to mini them whatsoever; i'll just ommit it for now.

However, if we go by your B/O's on the hats,i believe that this sale is probably close to 1500-1600. Should be fine.

yeah, the guy was going through my pricing

Secret CM: ~350

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043598087#!/compare/1460419200/1460505600

Logo View: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021228339?time=1461888000 - sort by time ~350

Last closed suggestion on the antlers has an okay mini. View is updated and the third hat has a suggestion up.

Frostbite KE - unrelated, but you can price it with this sale - http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043598087#!/compare/1460505600/1460678400

Duped Vivid Antlers - http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102442712#!/compare/1461024000/1461283200 ~330

Duped Scorching Stash - http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053294765#!/compare/1459123200/1459209600 (not ideal but it will have to do) ~330

Duped Scorching Drill - http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102442712#!/compare/1458716400/1458802800 ~110

I'm working on the hearts boa. Even if the planets view is 300, sale value overall will be under 1500. I'll decide in a day after I follow up on the boa whether the sale there is close enough. The antlers might be low in my mini

Okay, so the last sale here - http://backpack.tf/item/1947187827 - was 1:1 for a clean burning beak.

So if we count the view at its b/o of 300, sale value is 350+330+230+300+15 ~1225

View may be high. A few of the others might be a bit low. Should be a decent rough estimate and better than 1500 flat.