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~31 keys
p.nrg
Unusual Larrikin Robin Purple Energy
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First 6 sales quicksold


Sale 1:

Quicksold for 29 keys


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27865259 - B/O of 30, buyer offers on trade

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177739978/#!/compare/1455955200/1458457200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062857508/#!/compare/1456041600/1456128000


X = 29


Sale 2:

Quicksold for 30 keys


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27998404 - B/O of 35

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051502238/#!/compare/1458950400/1459036800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044010685/#!/compare/1458950400/1459036800


X = 30


Sale 3:

Quicksold for 31 pure?


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27817639 - B/O of 31

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069892390/#!/compare/1454745600/1454832000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090104341/#!/compare/1454832000/1455177600


Don’t know if it was actually a pure sale or not, sorting by time doesn’t help either. Doesn’t matter anyways, B/O was 31 and it sold in less than a day.


X = 31


Sale 4:

Quicksold for 32?


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27963204 - B/O of 32

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046431509/#!/compare/1458111600/1458198000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082745608/#!/compare/1458198000/1458457200


X = 32


Sale 5:

Quicksold for 33 keys


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27999555 - B/O of 33

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044010685/#!/compare/1459036800/1459123200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120665449/#!/compare/1459036800/1459123200


X = 33


Sale 6:

Quicksold with a key for Pro. KS Aussie Knife


Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062857508/#!/compare/1456128000/1456214400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025022308/#!/compare/1455955200/1456214400


X + 1 = 35

X = 34


Anything under 34 is too low.


Sale 7:

Sold for 31 keys in ~4 days


No outpost link available

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157455991/#!/compare/1455955200/1456041600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516/#!/compare/1456041600/1456128000


X = 31


Sale 8:

Sold for 35 keys


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27936217 - Deleted B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146352451/#!/compare/1457938800/1458025200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103825331/#!/compare/1457938800/1458025200


X = 35


Sale 9:

Sold with 5 keys for Galactic Codex Phononaut


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27640435 – B/O of 40, Seller confirms sale (legend)

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045388088/#!/compare/1454400000/1454486400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069892390/#!/compare/1454400000/1454486400


X + 5 = 43

X = 38


Sale 10:

Sold (with a cheap skin) for Aussie Blackbox + Aussie Knife


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27883556 - B/O of 45, Seller confirms sale (legend)

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101210182/#!/compare/1456646400/1456732800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060927833/#!/compare/1456646400/1456732800

Screenshot: https://imgur.com/a/xGtDX - Credit to EGC | KeRRR


X = 18 + 24

X = 42


Sale 11:

Sold with 2 keys for Scorching Larrikin?


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27754187 - No B/O, buyer offers on trade

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116821062/#!/compare/1453708800/1453881600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074242936/#!/compare/1453536000/1453881600


X + 2 = 53

X = 51


Sale 12:

Sold for Cloud 9 Smoking Skid Lid + 5 keys in items


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27936362 - Deleted B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516/#!/compare/1457337600/1457424000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198178290506/#!/compare/1457424000/1457769600


No other valid sales on the Skid lid, should be used to update it.


Sale 13:

Sold for Peace Sign Mining Light


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27991734 - B/O of 40

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088183290/#!/compare/1459814400/1459987200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192740165/#!/compare/1459900800/1459987200


Couldn’t get a mini on the Mining Light, sales were mostly bulk sales or untraceable.


Sale 14:

Sold with 4 keys for Darkblaze Handle


Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025022308/#!/compare/1457683200/1457769600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086948995/#!/compare/1457683200/1457769600


Can be used to update the Handle


Sale 15:

Sold for Eerie Orbiting Fire Fro + Green Confetti Officer’s Ushanka


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27909921 - B/O of 42

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082745608/#!/compare/1458111600/1458198000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272542830/#!/compare/1458111600/1458198000


Ushanka is outdated, should fall into the range though.


Sellers:

35 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28049804 - 6 days


38 keys:

http://puu.sh/ohOGA/ffe5866a5f.png - young?


40 keys:

http://puu.sh/ohOB0/0ee147e707.png - 1 month

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27999623 , relisted from http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27991734 ~2 weeks


42 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27909921 - 1 month


Sales at:

29 (Quicksale)

30 (Quicksale)

31 (Quicksale)

31

32 (Quicksale)

33 (Quicksale)

34 (Quicksale)

35

38

42

51


51 is pretty outlier-ish

Anything sales at or below 34 are too low

The sales for outdated hats would most likely be below 40, but I have no proof of this.


Going with 35-42

    still with a 42 going unsold for amonth, and so many sales under 38 it seems more likely that 35-38 better represent the median trading value. no?

      I normally would, but considering the sale at 42 was, for aussies, and sold in 6 days, I felt like I couldn't ignore it.

        that's sound logic. I see your point. Didn't look at the amount of time and didn't see a comment there for the length of the sale.

        Looks good then. upvoting

    15 sales. Damn, nice work. Upvote

      Well, only like 4 of them are usable, but cheers anyways :P

      "First 6 sales quicksold"


      Tfw people usually use 1 or 2 ... and you have 15 here. xD

        Tbh. you should credit me too not just Kerr, i made the imgur for Kerr. but well, upvote from my side. i sold this fast for more then bp.tf was c:


        Edit :

        Ty Jarool c:

          My bad, had I known you made the screenshot, I would've credited you too


          I restored balance for your comment, also

            Hah, no problemo. :P

            Oh btw, if you want update Darkblaze KE i can give you sale on private. ^^

              I think I'll just stick with the lower-tiers for a while, but cheers for the offer

          I would go 32-42 here. Outliers should be defined by deviation from the mean, not by how fast they sell. It's not a good idea when more sales are called as outliers than sales used for the range itself. The 35 up for 6 days lowered to 32 before finally selling. I think setting 32 as the base has plenty of justification.