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3 years outdated... steadiest hat ever?..
sale 1
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056333287/#!/compare/1459123200/1459209600 - sold for a steaming pug (12) + SF bat (9.5) + ~0.3 in sweets
x=22 (rounded)
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sale 2
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134641756/#!/compare/1459123200/1459468800 - sold with strange spec ks sniper rifle for a p.fetti Rubber Glove
Mini on rifle:
~1.5 - http://puu.sh/ojKOm/f7e7f78ede.png
Mini on glove:
14 days unsold @ 19 - http://puu.sh/ojKOm/f7e7f78ede.png
x+1.5=19
x=17 (rounded)
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3 sellers that all fit into the range - http://puu.sh/ojKWU/312851c131.png
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Couldn't find any other sales. Going with 17-22.
Sellers on Outpost:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27512446 - B/O 18, 4 months (same person is supposedly selling for 20 in classifieds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28073693 - B/O 17, young & poorly bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28068083 - B/O 17, young & poorly bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27654709 - B/O 21, 3 months, poorly bumped
Plus the additional seller you have for 20 on classifieds.
With the amount of sellers that you have below 22, especially the 4 month old seller for 18 keys, I'd call 22 an outlier. Even though there are also two sellers for 17, they're not well maintained so 17 should still be valid.