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2 years outdated.
Sale 1:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095987847/#!/compare/1460073600/1460332800
Sold w/ Aussie FJ for Misty Bomber (305)
305 - 19 = 295
Rounding to 300
Sale 2:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069393290/#!/compare/1455955200/1456560000
1:1 Surge Bonkboi (253)
Rounding to 250
Gonna use 250 - 300 here.
Sale 2 was not a 1:1, it was the Cosa for the bonk boy + 2 spec ks keys. You can see them in the compare link and in the notes on his trade here http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27883856 :)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069393290/#!/compare/1455177600/1455264000
uh
Should count both as ~15 keys?
Really not sure, even SCM sales are all over the place http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Specialized%20Killstreak%20Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key
Closing this suggestion since OP is banned for being a scammer.