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1 recent sale.
Sale 1: Sold for Phosphorous Fed-Fightin' Fedora[39 keys]+Cool Professional Killstreak Backwoods Boomstick Shotgun (Field-Tested)[76 keys via mini]
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045070194/#!/compare/1459641600/1459814400
76+39=105 keys
Seller at 100 keys:
https://gyazo.com/c66ea41e88184911d56c921ca4b7a612.png
https://gyazo.com/5f8fe26f2ef996f036382a12a7fce96d.png
Been up for 12 days.
Mini on Fedora:
No valid mini, so I'll just use current price.
Mini on Shotgun: Sold for Steaming Brotherhood of Arms[58 keys via mini]+Purple Confetti Milkman[18 keys]
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165619348/#!/compare/1457683200/1457769600
58+18=76 keys
Mini on Brotherhood:
Sold with Strange Professional Killstreak Mantreads[2.5 keys via mini]+Grim Tweeter[1.5 keys]+Grim Tweeter[1.5 keys] for Haunted Ghosts Surgeon's Stahlhelm[63 keys via mini]
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053134374/#!/compare/1457596800/1457683200
63-2.5-1.5-1.5=57.5 rounding to 58 keys
Mini on Mantreads:
Sellers at 2.5 keys https://gyazo.com/11f9f8391645d10b5460264ad7aef235.png
Mini on Stahlhelm:
Sold with Cool Professional Killstreak Brick House Minigun (Battle Scarred)[32 keys via mini] for Holy Grail Taunt: Fresh Brewed Victory[95 keys]
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053134374/#!/compare/1457938800/1458025200
95-32=63 keys
Mini on Minigun:
Sold for Miami Nights Troublemaker's Tossle Cap[32 keys]
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076804761/#!/compare/1456646400/1456732800
I have a sale at 105, and a seller at 100. Making this a range of 100-105 keys.
Your mini on the shotgun is far too high. A similar, non-pro ks shotgun is currently for sale at 45 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28140294
I've sold similar shotguns for around 50-60 ish before (and one for ~90 at a BO of 60 or 70, forgot which of the two, but that was a really lucky sale).
Im also pretty uncomfortable raising this over what it cannot sell for for 6 whole months:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27318625
I wouldnt use this sale at all and wait for other sales here.
Eh, I don't agree with your first point.
But second point is true, since it's been at 100 for 6 months, 105 seems high.