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Another sale happened.
Sold for roboactive marauder (92) + Spec aussie flame thrower (19) + scorching head warmer (180?) + Bliz Storm Teutonic Toque (outdated @18.5, doesn't matter) = approx 310
http://imgur.com/a/skoSv
Can't show a compare link yet since the sale happened today.
Closest to a mini for a clean head warmer I could get: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120481051/#!/compare/1457683200/1458630000
Headwarmer's b/o was 190: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27973411
Belt's b/o was 55 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27957912
Shako's b/o was 24 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27957926
He paid 260 keys for all 3.
260-24-55= puts the headwarmer at 180. Looks like it quicksold because the trade was only up for a week.
Even though the mini isn't great it doesn't make much of a difference since my b/o was 300, so with the Teutonic Toque, it definitely caps: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28071236#p64866657
Sale from previous suggestion is only a month old so I'm keeping 220 in the range, as much as I hate low b/os hurting good hats :P
Thanks.
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120481051/#!/compare/1460419200/1460851200
Seller (me): https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129088942/#!/compare/1460764800/1460851200
No clue why the RA marauder isn't showing up on the buyer's end. It matches with the owners/dates as you can see: https://backpack.tf/item/2959592254
Plus with the screenshot of the trade, I assume its enough.
Alright so the marauder was in his bp for a very short time so its not showing up. He bought it for a AF YWN + Heart scotch bonnet, being used to raise the marauder a bit here: https://backpack.tf/vote/id/571404b88667471e9e513a05
You can see those two hats here: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120481051/#!/compare/1459814400/1460851200
Mystery solved.
As the buyer, I can verify everything stated in this suggestion.