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~76 keys
robo
Unusual Electric Escorter Roboactive
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31 votes down
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Comments

Thanks for ApothicR and zester pointing out my first mistake. Thanks to GhostH | Moose for some additional data, and finally thanks to Oddball for all the help.


Going to remake this, again.

There are 2 on outpost right now, of which one is duped.

Here are the sales from the clean one. http://backpack.tf/item/1649161948


Sale#1: Sold for a clean DBD Flamenco (65). http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059072741 http://backpack.tf/item/4187328228 http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059072741/#!/compare/1460851200/1460937600


Sale#2: Sold for a clean Stormy 13th hour Sack (50.5), so rounding to 51. http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090275891 http://backpack.tf/item/1235125201 http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059072741/#!/compare/1460678400/1460851200


Sale#3: Appears to have sold for a duped Beams Hard Counter. http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198183013165?time=1459987200 http://backpack.tf/item/467952559

Since its duped it'd need a mini anyway. http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039839322/#!/compare/1459123200/1460592000

Seems to have 1:1'ed with the pro aussie sticky. Taking it as 26 keys as thats the cheapest for one atm. Since this one is low I'll consider it an outlier.


Sale#4:(Thanks to GhostH | Moose for finding this) Sold for a Nebula A Head Full of Hot Air with including a blizzard storm pyromancers.

History of Head full of hot air: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,4712424830,30662,5

HIstory of Pyromancers: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,4651736355,316,5


Nebula A Head Full of Hot Air (90) - 56.5 Blizzard Pyromancers = 33.5

34 (rounding up)


Hopefully I didnt make any more mistakes.

      Oh, alright. Wouldn't it still be 34-51 though? Because of the sack.

        nah, caps at b/o

          Another sale at 51

          You can round 35 - 50 if you want for neatness, this range is fine.


          Or 34- 51 if you want, doesn't matter, just makes it neater

          i owned the flamenco never had a bo

            Robo thing had a 50 b/o

              i did not buy it from him

                From who?

                Histories said you did

                  i have screenshots if u like i bought it from bigboom145

                  So im confused now, do i make it 34-51, or leave it here?

                    Eh. 65 looks like a high outlier anyway. I'd wait for a mod to step in here before you close

                    the flamenco sale isnt wrong

          range is way too wide

          There are a few issues with the suggestion and with the comment section, mainly regarding the current range.


          - Opposed to what was said in the comment section, the DbD flamenco sale is not wrong and did not have that buyout, so you can take that at 65. The seller of that sale did not have an outpost trade at all.

          - It was sale 2 that had the 50 key buyout http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28048326 ; that sale can be considered 50 because of that (which is not that much of a problem)

          - Sale 3: I highly doubt the hard counter sale was 1:1; the seller dealt in cash and csgo as well, and asked less than half for his counter than for his escorter:

          http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28037450 escorter

          http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28048184 counter

          usually when sellers take something that far below their BO, its either because they overvalued it (which isnt the case here seeing how the counter sold lower) or because cash or other stuff was added (which I assume here). If not, its probably an outlier.

          - Sale 4: Sales of this nature should generally not be used to price a hat like this. A sale where multiple hats were traded for a hat that is far more valuable than both components of the trade should usually only be used to price the largest hat there. This would value the escorter at ~30% of the trade. Generally, when the hat you are trying to price is less than 50% of the total sale, the sale isnt suitable to price your hat.


          Based on these sales I would personally put this at 50-65.

            So then, i should only take into account the first 2 sales, count sale 3 as an outlier, and say sale 4 isn't valid because the escorter wasnt the priciest?

              That is what I would do in this case, yeah. You can refer to this comment here in case anyone has questions about it