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C9 Cotton
Hat 1
#1 (13/4)
Sold for 85 keys pure in under 3 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28062244 B/O 85 keys
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197992953927/#!/compare/1460505600/1460592000
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033111049/#!/compare/1460505600/1460592000
#2 (2/4)
Sold with 13 keys , Aussie FaN (13) + Wrench (26) for Scorching Stetson (190) (B/O 120 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27908119
Stetson - http://backpack.tf/vote/id/570660b08667474de82c514c
-outlier
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001044586/#!/compare/1459468800/1459555200
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198215035777/#!/compare/1459036800/1459555200
Hat 2
#3 (22/3)
Involved in multi-unusual trade with Burning Cannonball and Phosphorus Viewfinder (not using)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27969786 B/O 80 keys
-was willing to accept duped PE Baker + 25 keys
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077784491/#!/compare/1458543600/1458630000
#4 (18/3)
Sold with a Burning Cannonball (430) for a Nebula Space Mann (500) ~70
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27936267 B/O 100 keys
Space Mann - http://backpack.tf/vote/id/570bf36b866747554346a7f5
-cotton head wasn't main part of trade, will not be using as main proof
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095902384/#!/compare/1458198000/1458284400
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077784491/#!/compare/1458198000/1458284400
#5 (1/3)
Sold for 20 keys
-uh
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027780094/#!/compare/1456473600/1456905600
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095902384/#!/compare/1456732800/1456819200
Hat 3
#6 (6/3)
Sold for AF Salty Dog (80) ~80 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27928963 B/O 65 keys for just a day
-given the B/O not having time for exposure, disregarding it
---
Salty - http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096389539/#!/compare/1457251200/1457337600
Sold with DBD Little Buddy (15) for Beams Protector (100) B/O 80
---
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057229334/#!/compare/1457251200/1457337600
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152023560/#!/compare/1457251200/1457337600
#7 (6/3)
Sold with DBD Little Buddy and Hearts Protector for C Bubbles Exec (unpriced, outdated, not using)
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152023560/#!/compare/1456905600/1457251200
#8 (4/3)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27917174 B/O 85 keys, sold for ???
#9 (2/3)
Sold for Smoking HWNN (38) + Ghastly Ghosts Jr Larrikin (40+) ~80 keys
Larrikin - http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5701404b866747363171e247
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198022776135/#!/compare/1456819200/1456905600
Hat 4
#10 (5/3)
Sold with Screaming Tiger MtM (90) for a C9 Pullover (165) + 20 keys ~95 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27917041
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045312207/#!/compare/1457078400/1457164800
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995915986/#!/compare/1457078400/1457164800
#11 (17/4)
Sold for Miami Nights Cotton (83) + 8 keys ~91 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27929728 B/O 100 keys
MN - http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5709524c8667475d5e26c021
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995915986/#!/compare/1460851200/1460937600
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In market now
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28066634 duped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28003635 B/O 90 keys for 3 weeks
B/O at 90 causes the sale above 90 to be outlier. The Miami Nights sale will be capped at 90 as it should be included in the price, being the latest sale but with the 3 week 90 B/O can't go above that.
Sale at 85 keys should be included in price as it was full pure, especially when it is also quite recent.
Overall, 80-90 seems like the best price, prioritising later sales more and is a good guideline as to where this hat is selling at.
2 unusual sales at 80, 1 pure at 85, 1 exchange with a different effect at 90.
Let me know if anything can be improved. Brackets are dates of sales.
Cotton Headed Master Race
Glad to see these are rising to where they should be :)