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When I'm staring down the barrel... *skip a few verses*
Just stay where you are... if there's nothing to hide...
http://backpack.tf/item/3120564240
Sale) Sold + Time Warp Infernal Impaler (130 Keys) for a Morning Glory Horrific Headsplitter (245 Keys) + Burning Flames Toy Tailor (180 Keys)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115499745#!/compare/1460505600/1460592000
(245 + 180) - 130 = 295 Keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28069035 - Capped by the Buyout of 280 Keys
Sale is complex and is unreliable for that reason.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115499745#!/compare/1460160000/1460246400 Sold for 148 keys + Ancient Codex Translator
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27984657 Wasn't a quicksell. A much more reliable sale.
The Translator's becoming All-Class, though.
Sale was in April when there definitely wasn't all-class hype. That price is fine to use.
Even with the translator hyped, that sale will be significantly lower than this. Sales here will be ~160 and 280. I see no direct evidence of either of them being the outlier. Whilst ~160 may be the more reliable sale here, the complex sale is clearly above that. I would prefer to see more sales here